Toluca vs Mazatlán Football Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 28th September, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Toluca to Win

Toluca sit 2nd in the table after 7 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Mazatlán are 15th after 7 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded on the road. The home record backs Toluca strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Mazatlán have lost 8/10 on the road (80%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Toluca in 80% of home games, Mazatlán in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Mazatlán regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Toluca are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Toluca see 8+ in 70% of home games, Mazatlán in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Toluca to Win — Toluca have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Mazatlán have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (2nd) and Mazatlán (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca H 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán A 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Mazatlán's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mazatlán regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Toluca 80% at home, Mazatlán 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Mazatlán in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Mazatlán frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Mazatlán have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Mazatlán (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Mazatlán. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25th Jan, 2025
Mazatlán
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 2–3 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Jan, 2025
Mazatlán
1 – 3 HT:
Toluca
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Jul, 2024
Toluca
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Mazatlán
Corners 6–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Jan, 2024
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 1-1
Mazatlán
Corners 5–2 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Nov, 2023
Mazatlán
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 2–5 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Mar, 2023
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Mazatlán
Corners 6–0 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Sep, 2022
Mazatlán
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 4–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jan, 2022
Mazatlán
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 2–3 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Aug, 2021
Toluca
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Mazatlán
Corners 9–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Feb, 2021
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 3-0
Mazatlán
Corners 5–7 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Mazatlán across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.23
Draw 7.04
Mazatlán 12.5

Half Time Result

Toluca 1.6
Draw 3.22
Mazatlán 8.78

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.07
Toluca or Mazatlán 1.12
Draw or Mazatlán 4.41

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 2.02

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.92
Under 1.5 7.22
Under 2.5 3.63
Under 3.5 2.07

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.99

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.32
Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 2.01

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.5 1.78

Mazatlán Goals

Over 0.5 1.69
Over 1.5 4.11
Over 2.5 15

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Toluca vs Mazatlán Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Mazatlán?

Toluca to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Mazatlán have lost 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Mazatlán?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Mazatlán have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Mazatlán?

Possibly — Mazatlán regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Mazatlán?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mazatlán in 60% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Mazatlán?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Mazatlán's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Mazatlán?

Possibly — Mazatlán frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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