Tercera - Group 13 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 10:45 GMT

Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Unión Molinense Home · 3rd 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Bala Azul Away · 12th 3W 4D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Unión Molinense 39% Draw 31% Bala Azul 30%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Unión Molinense see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Bala Azul in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
39% Unión Molinense win 31% Draw 30% Bala Azul win 46% BTTS 40% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Under 3.5 Goals

Unión Molinense sit 3rd in the table after 16 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Bala Azul are 12th after 17 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Unión Molinense have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Bala Azul have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Unión Molinense in 90% of home games, Bala Azul in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Bala Azul regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). Unión Molinense are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Unión Molinense see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Bala Azul in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Unión Molinense (3rd) and Bala Azul (12th) sit in the Tercera - Group 13 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Unión Molinense H 34 17 8 9 46:34 +12 59
11 Bala Azul A 34 8 16 10 39:36 +3 40
View the full Tercera - Group 13 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 +44 73
2 Real Murcia II 34 17 8 9 59:44 +15 59
3 Unión Molinense H 34 17 8 9 46:34 +12 59
4 Olímpico Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 +17 58
5 Mazarrón FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 +17 56
6 UCAM Murcia II 34 13 16 5 55:37 +18 55
7 Águilas II 34 14 10 10 47:42 +5 52
8 Atletico Santa Cruz 33 15 5 13 37:34 +3 50
9 Atlético Pulpileño 34 13 11 10 30:29 +1 50
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 -11 44
11 Bala Azul A 34 8 16 10 39:36 +3 40
12 Cartagena II 34 9 11 14 40:39 +1 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 -8 36
14 El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 -21 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 -26 32
16 Muleño 34 6 13 15 33:58 -25 31
17 UD Caravaca 33 6 12 15 33:44 -11 30
18 Yeclano II 34 5 9 20 22:56 -34 24

Team Form

Bala Azul have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Unión Molinense have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Unión Molinense — last 10 home A Bala Azul — last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bala Azul regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Unión Molinense are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Unión Molinense — last 10 home A Bala Azul — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Unión Molinense 90% at home, Bala Azul 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Unión Molinense — last 10 home A Bala Azul — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Unión Molinense have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Bala Azul in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Unión Molinense 1.9 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Bala Azul 1.4 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Unión Molinense — last 10 home A Bala Azul — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Unión Molinense 19 scored / 11 conceded at home · Bala Azul 14 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Unión Molinense (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Bala Azul (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

H Unión Molinense — last 10 home A Bala Azul — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Unión Molinense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Bala Azul have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Unión Molinense — last 10 home A Bala Azul — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Unión Molinense and Bala Azul. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Feb 2026
Unión Molinense
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Bala Azul
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Sep 2025
Bala Azul
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Unión Molinense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Mar 2025
Unión Molinense
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bala Azul
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2024
Bala Azul
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Unión Molinense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Unión Molinense 1.66 Model: 39%
Draw 3.14 Model: 31%
Value Bala Azul 5.48 Model: 30%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.29 Model: 46%
No 1.53 Model: 54%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44 Model: 66%
Over 2.5 2.44 Model: 40%
Over 3.5 4.1 Model: 19%
Under 1.5 2.48 Model: 34%
Under 2.5 1.47 Model: 60%
Under 3.5 1.13 Model: 81%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 3.3
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Unión Molinense 2.35 Model: 31%
Draw 1.98 Model: 48%
Value Bala Azul 6.66 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Unión Molinense or Draw 1.12 Model: 70%
Unión Molinense or Bala Azul 1.36 Model: 69%
Value Draw or Bala Azul 2 Model: 61%

Unión Molinense Goals

Over 0.5 1.21 Model: 69%
Over 1.5 2.1 Model: 34%

Bala Azul Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.84 Model: 62%
Value Over 1.5 5.4 Model: 27%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul?

Over 1.5 Goals — Unión Molinense see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Bala Azul in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Unión Molinense or Bala Azul?

Unión Molinense have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Bala Azul on the road (30% wins) in Tercera - Group 13. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Unión Molinense and Bala Azul?

Possibly — Bala Azul regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Unión Molinense are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Unión Molinense and Bala Azul?

Uncertain — Unión Molinense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Bala Azul in 60% of away games in Tercera - Group 13. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Unión Molinense or Bala Azul?

Unión Molinense have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Bala Azul's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Unión Molinense and Bala Azul?

Unlikely — Unión Molinense (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Bala Azul (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 13.

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