Valencia vs Atlético Madrid — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 La Liga, Spain
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 15:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Valencia (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Atlético Madrid on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Atlético Madrid have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Valencia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Valencia often see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlético Madrid are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Atlético Madrid often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Valencia are lower at home (40%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Valencia see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Valencia (th) and Atlético Madrid (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 31 26 1 4 84:30 +54 79
2 Real Madrid 31 22 4 5 65:29 +36 70
3 Villarreal 31 19 4 8 56:36 +20 61
4 Atlético Madrid A 31 17 6 8 51:32 +19 57
5 Real Betis 31 11 13 7 45:38 +7 46
6 Celta de Vigo 31 11 11 9 44:40 +4 44
7 Real Sociedad 31 11 9 11 49:48 +1 42
8 Getafe 31 12 5 14 27:32 -5 41
9 Osasuna 31 10 9 12 37:38 -1 39
10 Espanyol 31 10 8 13 37:48 -11 38
11 Athletic Club 31 11 5 15 33:45 -12 38
12 Girona 31 9 11 11 33:45 -12 38
13 Rayo Vallecano 31 8 11 12 29:38 -9 35
14 Valencia H 31 9 8 14 34:46 -12 35
15 Mallorca 31 9 7 15 39:48 -9 34
16 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 39:51 -12 34
17 Deportivo Alavés 31 8 9 14 35:46 -11 33
18 Elche 31 7 11 13 39:47 -8 32
19 Levante 31 7 8 16 35:50 -15 29
20 Real Oviedo 31 6 9 16 24:48 -24 27

Team Form

Atlético Madrid have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Valencia have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Valencia frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlético Madrid are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Atlético Madrid regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Valencia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Valencia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlético Madrid in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Valencia are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Valencia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Valencia (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Valencia vs Atlético Madrid?

Over 8.5 Corners — Valencia see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Valencia or Atlético Madrid?

Valencia have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Atlético Madrid on the road (30% wins) in La Liga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Valencia and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Valencia frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Valencia and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Valencia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Valencia or Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Valencia's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Valencia and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Valencia are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Levante vs Sevilla

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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