Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid

📍 La Liga, Spain
🕒 Sunday 24th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Villarreal to Win

Villarreal average 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Madrid average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. The home record backs Villarreal strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Atlético Madrid have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Villarreal have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home.

Villarreal frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 80% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Villarreal regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Villarreal to Win — Villarreal have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Atlético Madrid have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Villarreal (th) and Atlético Madrid (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 37 31 1 5 94:33 +61 94
2 Real Madrid 37 26 5 6 73:33 +40 83
3 Villarreal H 37 21 6 10 67:45 +22 69
4 Atlético Madrid A 37 21 6 10 61:39 +22 69
5 Real Betis 37 14 15 8 57:47 +10 57
6 Celta de Vigo 37 13 12 12 52:48 +4 51
7 Getafe 37 14 6 17 31:38 -7 48
8 Rayo Vallecano 37 11 14 12 39:43 -4 47
9 Valencia 37 12 10 15 43:54 -11 46
10 Real Sociedad 37 11 12 14 58:60 -2 45
11 Espanyol 37 12 9 16 42:54 -12 45
12 Athletic Club 37 13 6 18 41:54 -13 45
13 Deportivo Alavés 37 11 10 16 43:54 -11 43
14 Sevilla 37 12 7 18 46:59 -13 43
15 Osasuna 37 11 9 17 44:49 -5 42
16 Levante 37 11 9 17 46:59 -13 42
17 Elche 37 10 12 15 48:56 -8 42
18 Girona 37 9 13 15 38:54 -16 40
19 Mallorca 37 10 9 18 44:57 -13 39
20 Real Oviedo 37 6 11 20 26:57 -31 29

Team Form

Villarreal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Madrid's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Villarreal frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Atlético Madrid are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Villarreal frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Villarreal have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Atlético Madrid in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Villarreal regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Villarreal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Villarreal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Villarreal 2.45
Draw 3.8
Atlético Madrid 2.54

Half Time Result

Villarreal 2.8
Draw 2.46
Atlético Madrid 2.75

Double Chance

Villarreal or Draw 1.53
Villarreal or Atlético Madrid 1.25
Draw or Atlético Madrid 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.4
No 2.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 3.5 2.28
Under 1.5 5.25
Under 2.5 2.58
Under 3.5 1.73

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.1

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.92

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.89

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Tanjong Pagar have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Hougang United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    80% combined
  • Bahia U20 vs Atletico-PR U20 19:00 BST | Brasileiro U20, Brazil Bahia U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Atletico-PR U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    73% combined
  • Farul Constanța vs Metaloglobus 18:30 BST | Superliga, Romania Farul Constanța have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/19 home matches this season · Metaloglobus have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/19 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    68% combined
  • Arsenal vs Burnley 20:00 BST | Premier League, England Arsenal have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    66% combined

Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid?

Villarreal to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlético Madrid have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Villarreal or Atlético Madrid?

Villarreal hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in La Liga this season, while Atlético Madrid have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Villarreal and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Villarreal frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Villarreal and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Villarreal frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Villarreal or Atlético Madrid?

Villarreal have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Atlético Madrid's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Villarreal and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Villarreal regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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