Vitória Guimarães vs Tondela — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Vitória Guimarães (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Tondela on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Tondela have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Vitória Guimarães often see both teams score at home (60%), while Tondela are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Vitória Guimarães regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Tondela are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Vitória Guimarães see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Vitória Guimarães (th) and Tondela (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 27 23 3 1 54:11 +43 72
2 Benfica 27 19 8 0 58:17 +41 65
3 Sporting CP 26 20 5 1 68:15 +53 65
4 Sporting Braga 26 13 7 6 53:27 +26 46
5 Famalicão 27 13 6 8 33:22 +11 45
6 Gil Vicente 27 11 9 7 39:28 +11 42
7 Estoril 27 10 7 10 48:44 +4 37
8 Moreirense 27 10 5 12 31:39 -8 35
9 Vitória Guimarães H 27 9 5 13 29:42 -13 32
10 Rio Ave 27 7 9 11 28:46 -18 30
11 Arouca 27 8 5 14 34:55 -21 29
12 Alverca 27 7 8 12 27:45 -18 29
13 Santa Clara 27 7 7 13 24:31 -7 28
14 Estrela Amadora 27 6 10 11 33:45 -12 28
15 Casa Pia 26 5 9 12 26:48 -22 24
16 Nacional 27 5 7 15 29:39 -10 22
17 Tondela A 26 4 8 14 19:39 -20 20
18 AVS 27 1 8 18 18:58 -40 11

Team Form

Tondela have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Vitória Guimarães have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória Guimarães frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Tondela are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Tondela regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Vitória Guimarães have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Tondela in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Vitória Guimarães regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tondela are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Vitória Guimarães have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Tondela have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vitória Guimarães vs Tondela across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vitória Guimarães 1.75
Draw 3.72
Tondela 4.4

Half Time Result

Vitória Guimarães 2.34
Draw 2.09
Tondela 5.05

Double Chance

Vitória Guimarães or Draw 1.21
Vitória Guimarães or Tondela 1.3
Draw or Tondela 2.06

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.92
No 1.79

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.13
Over 3.5 3.79
Under 1.5 2.99
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 3.02

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.43
Over 10.5 1.71
Over 11.5 2.12

Vitória Guimarães Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.97

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 4.05

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Hradec Kralove W vs Prague Raptors W 11:30 BST Hradec Kralove W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Prague Raptors W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    100% combined
  • Milutinac W vs Radnički 1923 W 12:30 BST Milutinac W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Radnički 1923 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Szeged-Csanád II vs Tiszaföldvár 10:00 BST Szeged-Csanád II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Tiszaföldvár have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Wolfsburg W vs Union Berlin W 15:00 BST Wolfsburg W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    90% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.15
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Vitória Guimarães vs Tondela Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória Guimarães vs Tondela?

Over 8.5 Corners — Vitória Guimarães see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória Guimarães or Tondela?

Vitória Guimarães have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Tondela on the road (30% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Tondela?

Mixed — Vitória Guimarães have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Tondela in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Tondela?

Possibly — Tondela regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória Guimarães or Tondela?

Tondela have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Vitória Guimarães's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Tondela?

Possibly — Vitória Guimarães regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tondela are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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