Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 31st August, 22:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Vitória to Win

Vitória have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Atlético Mineiro have struggled on the road, winning only 1/10 away games (10%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Vitória at 40% at home and Atlético Mineiro at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Vitória at 40% at home and Atlético Mineiro at 20% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Vitória to Win — Vitória have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Atlético Mineiro have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Vitória (18th) and Atlético Mineiro (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 32 19 8 5 63:25 +38 65
2 Palmeiras 32 19 6 7 59:30 +29 63
3 Cruzeiro 32 16 12 4 48:25 +23 60
4 Mirassol 32 17 9 6 52:30 +22 60
5 Botafogo 32 15 10 7 52:34 +18 55
6 Fluminense 32 16 6 10 44:33 +11 54
7 Bahia 32 15 6 11 44:39 +5 51
8 Grêmio 32 12 8 12 42:39 +3 44
9 São Paulo 32 13 4 15 37:42 -5 43
10 Santos 32 11 10 11 38:41 -3 43
11 Atlético Mineiro A 32 11 9 12 37:36 +1 42
12 Corinthians 32 10 10 12 36:37 -1 40
13 Vitória H 32 10 9 13 28:43 -15 39
14 Vasco da Gama 32 11 5 16 49:52 -3 38
15 Fortaleza 32 10 7 15 38:53 -15 37
16 Ceará 32 9 8 15 26:33 -7 35
17 Internacional 32 9 8 15 36:53 -17 35
18 Bragantino 32 10 5 17 37:52 -15 35
19 Juventude 32 7 7 18 28:55 -27 28
20 Sport Recife 32 2 9 21 25:67 -42 15

Team Form

Vitória have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Mineiro's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória (40% BTTS at home) and Atlético Mineiro (20% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Match Goals

Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Vitória have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Atlético Mineiro in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 3 (30%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Vitória regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Vitória have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Vitória and Atlético Mineiro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13th Apr, 2025
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Vitória
Corners 16–3 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Oct, 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Vitória
Corners 2–5 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Jun, 2024
Vitória
4 – 2 HT: 2-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 2–4 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Aug, 2018
Vitória
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 6–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Apr, 2018
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Vitória
Corners 6–5 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Sep, 2017
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Vitória
Corners 5–4 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Jun, 2017
Vitória
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 4–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Sep, 2016
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Vitória
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th May, 2016
Vitória
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Sep, 2014
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vitória
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vitória 3.52
Draw 2.99
Atlético Mineiro 2.3

Half Time Result

Vitória 4.15
Draw 2
Atlético Mineiro 3.1

Double Chance

Vitória or Draw 1.55
Vitória or Atlético Mineiro 1.44
Draw or Atlético Mineiro 1.32

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95
No 1.74

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.49
Over 2.5 2.54
Over 3.5 4.4
Under 1.5 2.82
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.16

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.34

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 2
Over 11.5 2.25

Vitória Goals

Over 0.5 1.51
Over 1.5 3.3
Over 2.5 10

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.73
Over 2.5 6.6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.47
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Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro?

Vitória to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlético Mineiro have lost 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória or Atlético Mineiro?

Vitória hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Atlético Mineiro have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória and Atlético Mineiro?

Unlikely — Vitória (40% BTTS at home) and Atlético Mineiro (20% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie A. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória and Atlético Mineiro?

Uncertain — Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 30% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória or Atlético Mineiro?

Vitória have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Atlético Mineiro's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória and Atlético Mineiro?

Possibly — Vitória regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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