Vitória vs São Paulo Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Vitória to Win

Vitória sit 14th in the table after 6 games, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. São Paulo are 2nd after 8 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The home record backs Vitória strongly — they've won 8/10 home games (80%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); São Paulo in 40% away (4/10). Vitória average 2.5 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, São Paulo 0.7 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Vitória at 50% in home games (5/10), São Paulo at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

São Paulo are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Vitória are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Vitória to Win — Vitória have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Vitória (14th) and São Paulo (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 17 11 5 1 29:13 +16 38
2 Flamengo 16 9 4 3 28:16 +12 31
3 Fluminense 17 9 3 5 27:22 +5 30
4 Athletico PR 17 8 3 6 23:18 +5 27
5 Bragantino 17 8 2 7 22:18 +4 26
6 Coritiba 17 7 5 5 24:21 +3 26
7 São Paulo A 17 7 4 6 23:19 +4 25
8 Cruzeiro 17 6 5 6 23:27 -4 23
9 Bahia 16 6 5 5 23:22 +1 23
10 Vitória H 16 6 4 6 20:22 -2 22
11 Botafogo 16 6 4 6 30:29 +1 22
12 Corinthians 17 5 6 6 15:18 -3 21
13 Atlético Mineiro 17 6 3 8 21:23 -2 21
14 Grêmio 17 5 6 6 19:20 -1 21
15 Internacional 17 5 6 6 20:19 +1 21
16 Vasco da Gama 17 5 5 7 22:28 -6 20
17 Santos 17 4 6 7 23:28 -5 18
18 Mirassol 16 4 4 8 18:23 -5 16
19 Remo 17 3 6 8 20:29 -9 15
20 Chapecoense 16 1 6 9 17:32 -15 9

Team Form

Vitória have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to São Paulo's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Vitória have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 25 (2.5 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Vitória are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Vitória have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Vitória and São Paulo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

07 Dec 2025
Vitória
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Aug 2025
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vitória
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Aug 2024
São Paulo
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Vitória
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 May 2024
Vitória
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Oct 2018
Vitória
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jun 2018
São Paulo
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Vitória
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Sep 2017
Vitória
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Jun 2017
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vitória
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Sep 2016
Vitória
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jun 2016
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vitória
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vitória vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vitória 3.15
Draw 3.2
São Paulo 2.6

Half Time Result

Vitória 3.84
Draw 1.89
São Paulo 3.18

Double Chance

Vitória or Draw 1.53
Vitória or São Paulo 1.38
Draw or São Paulo 1.38

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.1
No 1.87

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2.5 2.63
Over 3.5 5.4
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.6
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.37
Over 10.5 1.72
Over 11.5 2.15

Vitória Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.47

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.96

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória vs São Paulo?

Vitória to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while São Paulo have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória or São Paulo?

Vitória hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Serie A this season, while São Paulo have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Mixed — Vitória have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Uncertain — Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória or São Paulo?

Vitória have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Possibly — São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Vitória are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Flamengo vs Coritiba

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 20:00 BST

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Athletico PR vs Mirassol

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 20:00 BST

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Grêmio vs Corinthians

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 21:30 BST

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Bahia vs Botafogo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 21:30 BST

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Remo vs São Paulo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 23:30 BST

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Santos vs Vitória

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

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Bragantino vs Internacional

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 15:00 BST

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Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

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