Vitória vs São Paulo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Vitória hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while São Paulo are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

São Paulo tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Vitória are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

São Paulo regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Vitória are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

São Paulo often produce high corner totals away (80%), while Vitória are lower at home (40%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Vitória have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, São Paulo in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Vitória (th) and São Paulo (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 9 7 1 1 19:9 +10 22
2 Fluminense 9 6 1 2 16:10 +6 19
3 São Paulo A 9 5 2 2 11:6 +5 17
4 Bahia 8 5 2 1 12:7 +5 17
5 Athletico PR 9 5 1 3 14:11 +3 16
6 Flamengo 8 4 2 2 13:8 +5 14
7 Coritiba 9 4 2 3 10:9 +1 14
8 Vasco da Gama 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
9 Atlético Mineiro 9 3 2 4 12:11 +1 11
10 Grêmio 9 3 2 4 14:14 0 11
11 Bragantino 9 3 2 4 9:10 -1 11
12 Vitória H 8 3 1 4 8:13 -5 10
13 Corinthians 9 2 4 3 8:10 -2 10
14 Santos 9 2 4 3 12:13 -1 10
15 Botafogo 8 3 0 5 14:18 -4 9
16 Internacional 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
17 Cruzeiro 9 1 4 4 11:16 -5 7
18 Chapecoense 8 1 4 3 9:15 -6 7
19 Remo 9 1 3 5 10:17 -7 6
20 Mirassol 8 1 3 4 10:13 -3 6

Team Form

Vitória hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while São Paulo have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

São Paulo regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Vitória are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Vitória have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Vitória (70% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Vitória have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.48
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Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória vs São Paulo?

Under 3.5 Goals — Vitória have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, São Paulo in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória or São Paulo?

Vitória hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while São Paulo have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Possibly — São Paulo regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Vitória are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Uncertain — Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória or São Paulo?

Vitória have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Yes — both Vitória (70% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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