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Home Win Stats & Predictions — Upcoming Football Fixtures
Discover the latest football stats, expert predictions, and betting tips for matches where the home team is most likely to win. Our Home Team to Win insights show which sides perform best at home, how often they secure victories, and the key factors driving their success. By combining these data-driven stats with our football predictions, you can make smarter, more informed betting decisions across all leagues. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today’s teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
Total stats: 22
Top 15 Upcoming Matches For Home Team to Win
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a home win. The home win probability is calculated from the home team's recent wins combined with the away team's recent losses.
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| Match | Home Win | Home Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa U19 vs R. Rzeszow U19 (Poland) |
8 / 11 | 89.52% | Today | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Bosnia and Herzegovina) |
7 / 8 | 85.19% | Today | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (Czech Republic) |
6 / 8 | 76.48% | Today | 1.28 |
| Home vs Away (Scotland) |
9 / 15 | 74.17% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Hong Kong) |
6 / 7 | 74.09% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
9 / 9 | 74.08% | Today | 1.25 |
| Home vs Away (Italy) |
9 / 12 | 73.12% | Today | 1.28 |
| Home vs Away (Italy) |
8 / 13 | 73.07% | Today | 1.25 |
| Home vs Away (Spain) |
8 / 13 | 72.89% | Today | 1.38 |
| Home vs Away (Bulgaria) |
9 / 13 | 72.83% | In 1 day | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Spain) |
10 / 12 | 72.78% | Today | 1.27 |
| Home vs Away (Honduras) |
13 / 19 | 72.59% | In 1 day | 1.25 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
16 / 19 | 72.33% | Today | 1.33 |
| Home vs Away (Spain) |
14 / 14 | 71.43% | In 1 day | 1.25 |
| Home vs Away (Colombia) |
5 / 5 | 70.66% | In 1 day | 1.42 |
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
How to Use Our Home Win Stats
Home Win is one of the most straightforward football betting markets — and one of the most statistically reliable when you're backing the right sides. Here's how to get the most out of our stats page.
How is the home win probability calculated?
Every fixture on this page is ranked using two key figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these two figures gives a much more accurate picture of the likely outcome than simply looking at a league table or overall form.
For example, a home team that has won 8 of their last 10 home games paired with an away side that has lost 7 of their last 10 away games represents a very strong statistical case for a home win. That's the kind of data-driven edge this page is built to surface.
How do I use the filters?
The filters at the top of the page let you narrow fixtures by home win percentage or away loss percentage threshold. If you're looking for the highest-confidence home win selections, filter by home win percentage of 70% or above. If you want to cross-reference the away team's weakness on the road, use the away lost percentage filter alongside it.
You can also sort by odds — useful if you're looking for value picks where the statistical confidence is high but the bookmaker odds are more generous than you'd expect.
What makes a strong home win selection?
The strongest home win picks combine a high home win percentage with a high away loss percentage for the opposition. A home team winning 80% of their home games is compelling — but if the away side has also lost 70% of their away games, the statistical case becomes significantly stronger.
Also pay attention to the sample size. A home team that has won 8 from 10 home games is a more reliable indicator than one that has won 4 from 5, even though both show 80%. We display the raw numbers alongside the percentage so you can always check the sample before committing.
Should I use home win picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well depending on your approach.
For singles, the stats on this page give you everything you need — home win percentage, away loss percentage, average goals scored and conceded, and the current odds. Use these to build a clear picture of the individual fixture before placing a bet.
For accumulators, home win is a natural market to combine. Picking four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record gives your accumulator a solid statistical foundation. Pair with our 10 Teams to Win Today for our daily curated selections across all leagues.
Can I combine home win with other markets?
Yes — combining home win with other markets is one of the most effective accumulator strategies. A home team that is statistically likely to win AND likely to be involved in a high-scoring game gives you multiple angles of confidence in the same fixture.
Try pairing home win selections with our Over 2.5 Goals stats and BTTS stats for fixtures that score strongly across multiple markets. For a full view of all our markets in one place, head to our All Stats page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does a Home Win mean in football betting?
A Home Win bet predicts that the home team will win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It's one of the simplest and most popular football betting markets — you're backing the home side to win, regardless of the scoreline. It doesn't include extra time or penalties, so the result must be confirmed within regular time.
How is the home win probability calculated on your stats page?
Our home win probability is calculated using two figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these gives a more accurate indicator of the likely outcome than simply checking a team's overall form or league position. A strong home win record combined with a poor away record for the opposition is one of the clearest statistical signals in football betting.
What percentage should I look for when backing a home win?
As a general guide, a home win percentage of 65% or above combined with an away loss percentage of 50% or above represents a statistically solid case. For the highest-confidence selections, look for home teams winning 75%+ of their home games against sides losing 60%+ of their away games. Always check the sample size alongside the percentage — a team with 8 wins from 10 home games is more meaningful than 4 from 5.
How do I use the filters on the Home Win page?
The filters at the top of the page let you narrow fixtures by home win percentage and away loss percentage. Set a minimum home win percentage — such as 70% — to show only the strongest statistical picks. Add an away loss percentage filter to cross-reference the opposition's weakness on the road. You can also sort by odds to find the best value among the top statistical selections.
What is home advantage and why does it matter?
Home advantage is the statistical tendency for teams to perform better at their own ground than away from home. It's driven by a combination of factors — familiar surroundings, supportive crowd, no travel fatigue, and psychological comfort. Across all levels of football, home teams win more often than away teams on average. Our stats quantify this advantage specifically for each team in the current season, rather than relying on a general assumption.
Which teams are most likely to win at home?
The strongest home win candidates are teams with a high home win percentage in the current season, combined with opponents who have a poor away record. League position alone doesn't tell the full story — some mid-table sides have exceptional home records while some higher-ranked teams are surprisingly vulnerable at their own ground. Our stats surface these patterns clearly so you can spot the opportunities that the league table hides.
Which leagues have the strongest home win trends?
Leagues with passionate home crowds, compact fixture schedules, and less travel for away sides tend to produce stronger home win rates. The English Championship, Turkish Süper Lig, Scottish Premiership and many Eastern European leagues consistently show high home win percentages. That said, team-by-team stats matter far more than league averages — always check the individual fixture data rather than backing home teams in a league because of a general trend.
How is a home win different from a Home Win HT bet?
A Home Win bet covers the full 90 minutes — the home team must win the match overall. A Home Win HT bet only requires the home team to be winning at half time, regardless of the final result. Some teams are excellent starters at home and lead at the break consistently but don't always hold on for the win — Home Win HT can sometimes offer better value than the full-time market for those sides.
Can I combine home win with other markets in an accumulator?
Yes — home win is one of the most natural markets to combine in an accumulator. Pairing a strong home win selection with Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS in the same fixture gives you multiple statistical angles of confidence. Many users also combine home win selections from this page with our 10 Teams to Win Today for a data-driven daily accumulator.
Is home win a good market for beginners?
Yes — it's one of the most intuitive markets in football betting. You're simply backing the home team to win, which is easy to understand and easy to research using our stats. The home win percentage and away loss percentage shown for each fixture give you a clear, at-a-glance picture of the statistical case without needing any prior knowledge of how to read betting data. If you're just getting started, our blog has guides to help you use football stats effectively.
How often are the home win stats updated?
Our stats are updated every two hours, ensuring the data always reflects the latest available information. For fixtures happening today, we recommend checking back closer to kick-off to make sure you're working with the most current numbers before placing any bets.
Do you provide Home Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Home Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
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