Best BTTS Tips This Week
Finding the best Both Teams to Score bets takes more than picking the obvious fixtures from the top leagues. Some of the...
Home Win Stats, Betting Tips & Football Predictions
Find today's best home win predictions, backed by real home and away form data from the current season. Every fixture shows how often the home team wins at home alongside how often the away team loses on the road, combined into a single percentage that surfaces the strongest home win picks across 100+ leagues. We refresh it every 2 hours. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today's teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
⚽ Today's Home Win Acca
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Hammarby vs Kalmar 13:00 BST | Allsvenskan, Sweden Hammarby have won in 4/6 home matches this season · Kalmar have lost in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3884% combined
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Astana vs Aktobe 15:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Astana have won in 7/8 home matches this season · Aktobe have lost in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 278% combined
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Gimnasia Jujuy vs Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors 19:00 BST | Primera B Nacional, Argentina Gimnasia Jujuy have won in 8/9 home matches this season · Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors have lost in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5578% combined
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Botafogo PB vs Confiança 23:30 BST | Serie C, Brazil Botafogo PB have won in 4/6 home matches this season · Confiança have lost in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.775% combined
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Austin II vs Minnesota United II 01:30 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Austin II have won in 6/9 home matches this season · Minnesota United II have lost in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.667% combined
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Deportivo Capiatá vs Atlético Tembetary 23:30 BST | Division Intermedia, Paraguay Deportivo Capiatá have won in 5/7 home matches this season · Atlético Tembetary have lost in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7364% combined
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Ballard vs Snohomish United 01:00 BST | USL League Two, United States Ballard have won in 6/6 home matches this season · Snohomish United have lost in 1/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9160% combined
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Breidablik vs Keflavík 20:15 BST | Besta deild, Iceland Breidablik have won in 4/6 home matches this season · Keflavík have lost in 3/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.759% combined
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Sunday, 12 July
H Social: last 5 home
A Atletico Mineiro U20: last 5 away
Home Win
H
3/5 (60%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Social have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%), a strong home record.
Atletico Mineiro U20 have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Social score 2 and concede 1.2 per home game. Atletico Mineiro U20 score 2.4 and concede 1.4 per away game. Together they average around 3.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 6.
H Ulytau: last 8 home
A Kaisar: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/8 (63%)
A
3/7 (43%)
Ulytau have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%), a strong home record.
Kaisar have lost 3 of their last 7 away games (43%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 53% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Ulytau score 1.13 and concede 0.63 per home game. Kaisar score 0.71 and concede 1.43 per away game. Together they average around 2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.35.
H Dalvík / Reynir: last 5 home
A Fjölnir: last 4 away
Home Win
H
4/5 (80%)
A
3/4 (75%)
Dalvík / Reynir have won 4 of their last 5 home games (80%), an outstanding home record.
Fjölnir have lost 3 of their last 4 away games (75%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 77.5% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Dalvík / Reynir score 1.6 and concede 0.4 per home game. Fjölnir score 2.25 and concede 3 per away game. Together they average around 3.6 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.25.
H Tammeka II: last 10 home
A Trans II: last 8 away
Home Win
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/8 (63%)
Tammeka II have won 8 of their last 10 home games (80%), an outstanding home record.
Trans II have lost 5 of their last 8 away games (63%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Tammeka II score 3.6 and concede 1.5 per home game. Trans II score 1.38 and concede 2 per away game. Together they average around 4.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.2.
H Western Sydney II W: last 8 home
A Northern Tigers W: last 9 away
Home Win
H
6/8 (75%)
A
4/9 (44%)
Western Sydney II W have won 6 of their last 8 home games (75%), an outstanding home record.
Northern Tigers W have lost 4 of their last 9 away games (44%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Western Sydney II W score 2.38 and concede 1.25 per home game. Northern Tigers W score 1.67 and concede 1.44 per away game. Together they average around 3.4 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.05.
H Cerrito: last 6 home
A Miramar Misiones: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/6 (83%)
A
3/7 (43%)
Cerrito have won 5 of their last 6 home games (83%), an outstanding home record.
Miramar Misiones have lost 3 of their last 7 away games (43%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Cerrito score 1.67 and concede 0.5 per home game. Miramar Misiones score 1.57 and concede 1.43 per away game. Together they average around 2.6 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.05.
H Astana: last 8 home
A Aktobe: last 6 away
Home Win
H
7/8 (88%)
A
4/6 (67%)
Astana have won 7 of their last 8 home games (88%), an outstanding home record.
Aktobe have lost 4 of their last 6 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 77.5% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Astana score 2.13 and concede 0.5 per home game. Aktobe score 0.5 and concede 1.33 per away game. Together they average around 2.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.
H Nantong Zhiyun: last 7 home
A Changchun Yatai: last 7 away
Home Win
H
6/7 (86%)
A
3/7 (43%)
Nantong Zhiyun have won 6 of their last 7 home games (86%), an outstanding home record.
Changchun Yatai have lost 3 of their last 7 away games (43%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Nantong Zhiyun score 1.29 and concede 0.57 per home game. Changchun Yatai score 1.86 and concede 1.71 per away game. Together they average around 2.7 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.85.
H Phoenix: last 11 home
A Vaprus II: last 11 away
Home Win
H
9/11 (82%)
A
6/11 (55%)
Phoenix have won 9 of their last 11 home games (82%), an outstanding home record.
Vaprus II have lost 6 of their last 11 away games (55%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 68.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Phoenix score 3.36 and concede 2.36 per home game. Vaprus II score 2.55 and concede 2.64 per away game. Together they average around 5.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.85.
H Dalian Kewei: last 7 home
A Shanghai Segenda: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/7 (71%)
A
3/7 (43%)
Dalian Kewei have won 5 of their last 7 home games (71%), a strong home record.
Shanghai Segenda have lost 3 of their last 7 away games (43%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 57% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Dalian Kewei score 1.14 and concede 0.14 per home game. Shanghai Segenda score 1.29 and concede 1.71 per away game. Together they average around 2.1 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.75.
H Botafogo PB: last 6 home
A Confiança: last 6 away
Home Win
H
4/6 (67%)
A
5/6 (83%)
Botafogo PB have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Confiança have lost 5 of their last 6 away games (83%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 75% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Botafogo PB score 1.33 and concede 0.67 per home game. Confiança score 0.33 and concede 1.17 per away game. Together they average around 1.8 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.7.
H Kormákur / Hvöt: last 4 home
A Víkingur Ólafsvík: last 5 away
Home Win
H
3/4 (75%)
A
4/5 (80%)
Kormákur / Hvöt have won 3 of their last 4 home games (75%), an outstanding home record.
Víkingur Ólafsvík have lost 4 of their last 5 away games (80%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 77.5% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Kormákur / Hvöt score 4.25 and concede 1.25 per home game. Víkingur Ólafsvík score 0.8 and concede 2.6 per away game. Together they average around 4.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.67.
H FCI Tallinn: last 8 home
A Tallinna Kalev II: last 8 away
Home Win
H
5/8 (63%)
A
5/8 (63%)
FCI Tallinn have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%), a strong home record.
Tallinna Kalev II have lost 5 of their last 8 away games (63%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, FCI Tallinn score 2.25 and concede 1.75 per home game. Tallinna Kalev II score 2 and concede 2.38 per away game. Together they average around 4.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.66.
H Lions U23: last 8 home
A Eastern Suburbs U23: last 7 away
Home Win
H
7/8 (88%)
A
4/7 (57%)
Lions U23 have won 7 of their last 8 home games (88%), an outstanding home record.
Eastern Suburbs U23 have lost 4 of their last 7 away games (57%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 72.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Lions U23 score 3 and concede 0.5 per home game. Eastern Suburbs U23 score 1.71 and concede 1.43 per away game. Together they average around 3.3 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.62.
H Sydney United U20: last 11 home
A Rockdale Ilinden U20: last 11 away
Home Win
H
7/11 (64%)
A
7/11 (64%)
Sydney United U20 have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%), a strong home record.
Rockdale Ilinden U20 have lost 7 of their last 11 away games (64%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sydney United U20 score 2.64 and concede 1.27 per home game. Rockdale Ilinden U20 score 1.18 and concede 1.73 per away game. Together they average around 3.4 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.62.
H Gold Coast Knights U23: last 6 home
A Brisbane City U23: last 7 away
Home Win
H
4/6 (67%)
A
5/7 (71%)
Gold Coast Knights U23 have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Brisbane City U23 have lost 5 of their last 7 away games (71%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 69% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Gold Coast Knights U23 score 2.83 and concede 1.33 per home game. Brisbane City U23 score 1.43 and concede 3 per away game. Together they average around 4.3 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.6.
H Gimnasia Jujuy: last 9 home
A Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors: last 9 away
Home Win
H
8/9 (89%)
A
6/9 (67%)
Gimnasia Jujuy have won 8 of their last 9 home games (89%), an outstanding home record.
Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors have lost 6 of their last 9 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 78% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Gimnasia Jujuy score 2.33 and concede 0.56 per home game. Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors score 0.56 and concede 1.44 per away game. Together they average around 2.4 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.55.
H Malleco Unido: last 6 home
A Municipal Puente Alto: last 6 away
Home Win
H
4/6 (67%)
A
4/6 (67%)
Malleco Unido have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Municipal Puente Alto have lost 4 of their last 6 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Malleco Unido score 1.83 and concede 0.83 per home game. Municipal Puente Alto score 0.83 and concede 1.67 per away game. Together they average around 2.6 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.48.
H Marconi Stallions: last 10 home
A Western Sydney W. II: last 10 away
Home Win
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Marconi Stallions have won 8 of their last 10 home games (80%), an outstanding home record.
Western Sydney W. II have lost 4 of their last 10 away games (40%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Marconi Stallions score 2.1 and concede 0.4 per home game. Western Sydney W. II score 2.7 and concede 1.2 per away game. Together they average around 3.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.44.
H KR Reykjavík: last 7 home
A ÍBV: last 6 away
Home Win
H
6/7 (86%)
A
3/6 (50%)
KR Reykjavík have won 6 of their last 7 home games (86%), an outstanding home record.
ÍBV have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 68% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, KR Reykjavík score 3.86 and concede 2.14 per home game. ÍBV score 1.5 and concede 2.17 per away game. Together they average around 4.8 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.4.
H Hammarby: last 6 home
A Kalmar: last 5 away
Home Win
H
4/6 (67%)
A
5/5 (100%)
Hammarby have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Kalmar have lost 5 of their last 5 away games (100%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 83.5% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Hammarby score 3.33 and concede 0.83 per home game. Kalmar score 0.8 and concede 2.2 per away game. Together they average around 3.6 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.38.
H Fram: last 6 home
A Thór: last 6 away
Home Win
H
4/6 (67%)
A
4/6 (67%)
Fram have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Thór have lost 4 of their last 6 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Fram score 3 and concede 2.5 per home game. Thór score 0.83 and concede 3 per away game. Together they average around 4.7 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.33.
H Northern Indiana: last 4 home
A Dayton Dutch Lions: last 4 away
Home Win
H
3/4 (75%)
A
3/4 (75%)
Northern Indiana have won 3 of their last 4 home games (75%), an outstanding home record.
Dayton Dutch Lions have lost 3 of their last 4 away games (75%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 75% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Northern Indiana score 2 and concede 1 per home game. Dayton Dutch Lions score 0.75 and concede 1.25 per away game. Together they average around 2.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.3.
H Gimnasia Chivilcoy: last 8 home
A Gimnasia Concepción: last 8 away
Home Win
H
6/8 (75%)
A
4/8 (50%)
Gimnasia Chivilcoy have won 6 of their last 8 home games (75%), an outstanding home record.
Gimnasia Concepción have lost 4 of their last 8 away games (50%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Gimnasia Chivilcoy score 1.25 and concede 0 per home game. Gimnasia Concepción score 0.5 and concede 1.25 per away game. Together they average around 1.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.2.
Monday, 13 July
H RKC: last 5 home
A River Light: last 5 away
Home Win
H
3/5 (60%)
A
2/5 (40%)
RKC have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%), a strong home record.
River Light have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, RKC score 1.8 and concede 1 per home game. River Light score 2.4 and concede 2.2 per away game. Together they average around 3.7 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.95.
H Deportivo Capiatá: last 7 home
A Atlético Tembetary: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/7 (71%)
A
4/7 (57%)
Deportivo Capiatá have won 5 of their last 7 home games (71%), a strong home record.
Atlético Tembetary have lost 4 of their last 7 away games (57%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Deportivo Capiatá score 2.29 and concede 1.14 per home game. Atlético Tembetary score 1.29 and concede 1.43 per away game. Together they average around 3.1 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.73.
H Breidablik: last 6 home
A Keflavík: last 6 away
Home Win
H
4/6 (67%)
A
3/6 (50%)
Breidablik have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Keflavík have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Breidablik score 3 and concede 1.83 per home game. Keflavík score 1.67 and concede 2.5 per away game. Together they average around 4.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.7.
H Austin II: last 9 home
A Minnesota United II: last 9 away
Home Win
H
6/9 (67%)
A
6/9 (67%)
Austin II have won 6 of their last 9 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Minnesota United II have lost 6 of their last 9 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Austin II score 2.22 and concede 1.22 per home game. Minnesota United II score 1 and concede 1.78 per away game. Together they average around 3.1 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.6.
Tuesday, 14 July
H Atlanta: last 10 home
A Colegiales: last 9 away
Home Win
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/9 (78%)
Atlanta have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%), a strong home record.
Colegiales have lost 7 of their last 9 away games (78%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 69% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Atlanta score 1.5 and concede 0.6 per home game. Colegiales score 0.33 and concede 1.56 per away game. Together they average around 2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Top 15 Upcoming Matches For Home Team to Win
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a home win. The home win probability is calculated from the home team's recent wins combined with the away team's recent losses.
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| Match | Home Win | Home Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Indiana vs Dayton Dutch Lions (United States) |
3 / 4 | 80.08% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
7 / 7 | 73.68% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
6 / 8 | 71.97% | Today | 1.44 |
| Home vs Away (Sweden) |
4 / 6 | 70.84% | Today | 1.38 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
8 / 10 | 68.42% | Today | 1.44 |
| Home vs Away (Kazakhstan) |
7 / 8 | 67.63% | Today | 2 |
| Home vs Away (United States) |
6 / 6 | 62.5% | In 1 day | 1.91 |
| Home vs Away (Argentina) |
6 / 8 | 61.88% | Today | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Iceland) |
6 / 7 | 60% | Today | 1.4 |
| Home vs Away (United States) |
3 / 5 | 59.95% | In 1 day | 1.95 |
| Home vs Away (Argentina) |
8 / 9 | 59.75% | Today | 1.55 |
| Home vs Away (China) |
5 / 7 | 59.56% | Today | 1.75 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
7 / 11 | 58.63% | Today | 1.62 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
7 / 8 | 57.66% | Today | 1.62 |
| Home vs Away (Brazil) |
5 / 6 | 57.24% | Today | 1.27 |
How to Use Our Home Win Stats
Home Win is one of the simplest football betting markets, and one of the more reliable once you know which sides to trust. The page ranks every fixture by how likely the home team is to win, so the strongest home picks of the day sit at the top.
How is the home win probability calculated?
We rank every fixture on this page using two figures: the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games. Put together, they give a sharper read on the likely outcome than a league table or overall form does.
Take a home team that's won 8 of their last 10 at home against an away side that's lost 7 of their last 10 on the road. That's a strong case for a home win, and it's exactly what this page is built to surface.
What makes a strong home win selection?
The strongest home win picks pair a high home win percentage with a high away loss percentage for the opposition. A home team winning 80% of their home games is a solid start, but if the away side has also lost 70% on the road, the case gets a lot stronger.
Sample size matters too. A home team that's won 8 from 10 is a more reliable signal than one that's won 4 from 5, even though both read 80%. We show the raw numbers next to the percentage, so you can check the sample before you back anything.
Should I use home win picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well, depending on your approach.
For singles, the stats on this page give you everything you need: home win percentage, away loss percentage, average goals scored and conceded, and the current odds. Use them to build a clear picture of the fixture before you place a bet.
For accumulators, home win is a natural market to combine. Pick four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record, and the acca rests on solid form. Pair it with our 10 Teams to Win Today for our daily curated selections.
Can I combine home win with other markets?
Yes, and it's one of the most effective accumulator strategies. When a home team is likely to win and likely to feature in a high-scoring game, you've got two reads pointing the same way in one fixture.
Pair home win selections with our Over 2.5 Goals stats and BTTS stats for fixtures that score well across markets. For all our markets in one place, head to the All Stats page.
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does a Home Win mean in football betting?
A Home Win bet predicts the home team will win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It's one of the simplest and most popular football betting markets: you're backing the home side to win, whatever the scoreline. Extra time and penalties don't count, the result has to come within regular time.
Why is the Home Win market so popular?
Home advantage plays a measurable role at every level of football. Teams tend to perform better in familiar surroundings, with crowd support, no travel and the comfort of their own ground. That edge shows up clearly in the numbers, which is what makes home win a market you can actually analyse rather than guess at.
How can Home Win stats help with betting predictions?
Home Win stats show how often teams win at home and how often their opponents lose on the road, using current-season form rather than historical averages. Put both figures together and you get a sharper read on the likely outcome than league position or form alone.
What factors influence Home Win results?
The strongest indicators are a high home win percentage for the home side and a high away loss percentage for the visiting team. Beyond the raw numbers, crowd intensity, travel distance for the away side, and tactical matchups also play a part. Teams that attack well and defend solidly at home tend to post the highest home win rates.
How do I find the best teams for Home Win bets?
Look for home teams with a high win percentage in their home games this season, paired with opponents who have a poor away record. The combined percentage on this page does that work for you. Anything above 70% with a sample size of 15+ games from both sides is a solid starting point.
Can Home Win stats be used for betting tips?
Yes. Home Win stats are one of the most reliable bases for picking tips on form rather than feel. Combine home win percentage, away loss percentage and sample size, and you can spot fixtures where the case for a home victory is strong rather than assumed.
Are Home Win bets suitable for accumulators?
Yes. Home Win is one of the most natural markets to combine in an accumulator. Pick four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record, and the acca rests on solid form. Our 10 Teams to Win Today page gives you a daily curated selection built on the same approach.
How often are Home Win stats updated?
We update every stat on this page every two hours, so it reflects the latest results, team form and match data across 100+ leagues.
How can I combine Home Win bets with other markets?
Home Win works well alongside Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS in the same fixture. When a home team is likely to win and likely to feature in a high-scoring game, you've got two reads pointing the same way. Plenty of bettors also pair home win selections from this page with our 10 Teams to Win Today for a daily accumulator.
What are the advantages of betting on home teams?
Home teams win more matches, score more goals, and defend better than they do on the road. The edge from home advantage holds steady enough across leagues and seasons to make it one of the most reliable starting points in football betting, especially when the opposition has a poor away record.
Do some leagues have stronger home win trends than others?
Yes. Leagues with passionate home crowds and long, difficult away travel tend to show higher home win rates. The Nigeria Premier Football League is the standout example, home sides win there at a rate you rarely see anywhere else in world football, driven by tough travel, hostile grounds and a big gap between home and away form. Team-by-team stats still matter more than league averages, though, so check the individual fixture data rather than backing a home team on a league trend alone.
Are Home Win predictions reliable?
When backed by a high combined percentage and a meaningful sample size, home win selections are among the more reliable in football betting. No prediction is guaranteed, but working from the data across a full season beats picking by reputation or recent form. Factor in sample size too: a team that's won 8 from 10 at home is a firmer signal than one that's won 2 from 3.
What is the average home win percentage in football?
Across most professional leagues, the home team wins roughly 45–47% of matches. In leagues with intense home atmospheres, such as the Turkish Süper Lig or Greek Super League, the rate can push above 50%. At team level the spread is wider still: some sides win 70%+ at home while others barely reach 30%. League averages give you a baseline, but the team-specific percentages on this page tell you far more about which fixtures are likely to produce a home win.
How do betting stats improve Home Win predictions?
Track home win percentage, away loss percentage and sample size, and you've got a measurable edge over picking by reputation or league position. The combined figure on this page reads both sides of the fixture in context: not just how often the home team wins overall, but how often they win at home and how often that specific opponent loses on the road.
Are Home Win stats useful for in-play betting?
Yes, especially when a strong home side is level or behind early and the stats say they should be on top. A home team with a 75%+ home win rate that goes behind inside the first 20 minutes is a different in-play proposition from one with a modest record. Use the pre-match combined percentage as your read going in, then let the game adjust it as it develops.
Can I use Home Win stats for long-term betting strategies?
Yes. Track home performance across a full season and you'll see which sides keep delivering at home and which opponents keep struggling on the road. Applied with steady staking and discipline on sample size, a home win strategy built on the stats is one of the more structured ways to approach long-term football betting.
Do you provide Home Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Home Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
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