Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 A-League Men, Australia
🕒 Friday 6th March, 08:35 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Adelaide United have won 40% of home games, Wellington Phoenix 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Adelaide United 90% at home, Wellington Phoenix 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Wellington Phoenix regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Adelaide United see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full A-League Men table for the 2025/2026 season, with Adelaide United (4th) and Wellington Phoenix (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

A-League Men 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 24 14 2 8 49:37 +12 44
2 Auckland 24 11 8 5 40:26 +14 41
3 Sydney 24 11 4 9 31:23 +8 37
4 Adelaide United H 24 10 7 7 41:34 +7 37
5 Melbourne Victory 24 10 6 8 40:31 +9 36
6 Melbourne City 24 9 8 7 29:29 0 35
7 Macarthur 24 8 7 9 32:41 -9 31
8 Wellington Phoenix A 24 8 6 10 34:43 -9 30
9 Central Coast Mariners 24 7 8 9 34:38 -4 29
10 Perth Glory 24 7 6 11 30:38 -8 27
11 Brisbane Roar 24 6 8 10 24:31 -7 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 24 5 6 13 26:39 -13 21
13 3rd ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
14 6th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
15 2nd ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
16 Highest ranked winner 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
17 Lowest ranked winner 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
18 1st ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
19 4th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
20 5th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

Team Form

Adelaide United (40% home wins) and Wellington Phoenix (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Adelaide United have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Wellington Phoenix in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Adelaide United 90% at home, Wellington Phoenix 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Adelaide United have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Wellington Phoenix in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Wellington Phoenix frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Adelaide United are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Adelaide United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Wellington Phoenix have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Adelaide United (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Jan 2026
Wellington Phoenix
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Adelaide United
29 Nov 2025
Wellington Phoenix
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Adelaide United
18 Apr 2025
Adelaide United
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
Wellington Phoenix
11 Jan 2025
Wellington Phoenix
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Adelaide United
03 Mar 2024
Wellington Phoenix
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Adelaide United
04 Jan 2024
Adelaide United
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Wellington Phoenix
05 May 2023
Adelaide United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
17 Mar 2023
Adelaide United
5 – 1 HT: 2-0
Wellington Phoenix
17 Dec 2022
Wellington Phoenix
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Adelaide United
09 Oct 2022
Wellington Phoenix
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Adelaide United

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Adelaide United 1.75
Draw 4.5
Wellington Phoenix 4.1

Half Time Result

Adelaide United 2.24
Draw 2.67
Wellington Phoenix 4.57

Double Chance

Adelaide United or Draw 1.23
Adelaide United or Wellington Phoenix 1.25
Draw or Wellington Phoenix 2.21

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.59
No 2.62

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.49
Under 1.5 6.2
Under 2.5 2.66
Under 3.5 1.64

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.21

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.51
Over 11.5 2.02

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.48

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.79

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?

Over 1.5 Goals — Adelaide United see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Adelaide United or Wellington Phoenix?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Adelaide United have won 40% of home games, Wellington Phoenix 40% away in A-League Men. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix?

Possibly — Adelaide United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Wellington Phoenix are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix?

Uncertain — Adelaide United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 60% of away games in A-League Men. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Adelaide United or Wellington Phoenix?

Adelaide United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Wellington Phoenix's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix?

Possibly — Wellington Phoenix frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Adelaide United are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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