AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 1. Division, Cyprus
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 17:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

AEK Larnaca hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Pafos FC are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Pafos FC tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while AEK Larnaca are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — AEK Larnaca at 40% at home and Pafos FC at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Pafos FC often produce high corner totals away (70%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (30%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — AEK Larnaca see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Pafos FC in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full 1. Division table for the 2025/2026 season, with AEK Larnaca (5th) and Pafos FC (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

1. Division 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Omonia Nicosia 28 20 5 3 67:19 +48 65
2 AEK Larnaca H 28 17 6 5 51:23 +28 57
3 Apollon 28 16 7 5 38:24 +14 55
4 Pafos FC A 28 16 4 8 54:27 +27 52
5 APOEL 28 14 6 8 47:29 +18 48
6 Aris Limassol 28 12 8 8 51:30 +21 44
7 AEL 28 11 4 13 35:39 -4 37
8 Anorthosis 28 8 11 9 26:36 -10 35
9 Omonia Aradippou 28 10 4 14 24:36 -12 34
10 Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC 28 10 4 14 29:36 -7 34
11 Olympiakos 28 7 10 11 25:39 -14 31
12 Ethnikos Achna 28 8 3 17 27:45 -18 27
13 Akritas 28 7 5 16 25:53 -28 26
14 Enosis 28 1 1 26 8:71 -63 4

Team Form

AEK Larnaca hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Pafos FC have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

AEK Larnaca (40% BTTS at home) and Pafos FC (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

AEK Larnaca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pafos FC in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

AEK Larnaca have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Pafos FC in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Pafos FC frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

AEK Larnaca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Pafos FC have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Corners Conceded

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24th May, 2025
AEK Larnaca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Pafos FC
Corners 5–7 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th May, 2025
Pafos FC
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
AEK Larnaca
Corners 3–5 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Apr, 2025
AEK Larnaca
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Pafos FC
Corners 3–7 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Dec, 2024
Pafos FC
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
AEK Larnaca
Corners 3–7 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Sep, 2024
AEK Larnaca
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Pafos FC
Corners 7–0 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Apr, 2024
AEK Larnaca
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Pafos FC
Corners 1–9 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Feb, 2024
Pafos FC
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
AEK Larnaca
Corners 4–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jan, 2024
AEK Larnaca
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Pafos FC
Corners 3–5 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Oct, 2023
Pafos FC
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
AEK Larnaca
Corners 4–7 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st May, 2023
AEK Larnaca
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Pafos FC
Corners 10–5 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

AEK Larnaca 2.78
Draw 3.08
Pafos FC 3

Half Time Result

AEK Larnaca 3.31
Draw 2.12
Pafos FC 3.53

Double Chance

AEK Larnaca or Draw 1.46
AEK Larnaca or Pafos FC 1.38
Draw or Pafos FC 1.45

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.86
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.37
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 3.5 3.99
Under 1.5 3.32
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.45
Over 1.5 3.26

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.83

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.81

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC?

Over 1.5 Goals — AEK Larnaca see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Pafos FC in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, AEK Larnaca or Pafos FC?

AEK Larnaca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in 1. Division this season, while Pafos FC have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC?

Unlikely — AEK Larnaca (40% BTTS at home) and Pafos FC (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in 1. Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC?

Uncertain — AEK Larnaca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pafos FC in 60% of away games in 1. Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AEK Larnaca or Pafos FC?

AEK Larnaca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Pafos FC's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC?

Possibly — Pafos FC frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL

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Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca

📍 1. Division, Cyprus

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 16:00 BST

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Aris Limassol vs Apollon

📍 1. Division, Cyprus

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 17:00 BST

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Olympiakos vs Akritas

📍 1. Division, Cyprus

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

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James T. (London, UK)

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