AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC

📍 1. Division, Cyprus
🕒 Saturday 16th May, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

AEK Larnaca sit 2nd in the table after 31 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Pafos FC are 4th after 31 games, averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. AEK Larnaca have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Pafos FC side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Pafos FC have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). AEK Larnaca are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Pafos FC regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). AEK Larnaca are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — AEK Larnaca see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Pafos FC in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — AEK Larnaca see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Pafos FC in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full 1. Division table for the 2025/2026 season, with AEK Larnaca (2nd) and Pafos FC (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

1. Division 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Omonia Nicosia 34 25 6 3 80:22 +58 81
2 AEK Larnaca H 34 19 8 7 56:28 +28 65
3 Apollon 34 19 7 8 47:34 +13 64
4 Pafos FC A 34 17 7 10 62:36 +26 58
5 APOEL 34 15 7 12 53:40 +13 52
6 Aris Limassol 34 14 9 11 56:38 +18 51
7 Anorthosis 32 11 12 9 35:39 -4 45
8 AEL 32 12 5 15 39:45 -6 41
9 Omonia Aradippou 32 11 6 15 29:41 -12 39
10 Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC 32 11 6 15 36:44 -8 39
11 Olympiakos 32 9 10 13 31:44 -13 37
12 Akritas 32 10 5 17 30:56 -26 35
13 Ethnikos Achna 32 10 3 19 33:51 -18 33
14 Enosis 32 1 1 30 11:80 -69 4

Team Form

AEK Larnaca hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Pafos FC have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pafos FC regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Pafos FC regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

AEK Larnaca have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Pafos FC in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Pafos FC frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

AEK Larnaca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Pafos FC have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

AEK Larnaca (Home Form) Pafos FC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

AEK Larnaca 2.38
Draw 3.16
Pafos FC 2.8

Half Time Result

AEK Larnaca 3.04
Draw 2.18
Pafos FC 3.66

Double Chance

AEK Larnaca or Draw 1.37
AEK Larnaca or Pafos FC 1.33
Draw or Pafos FC 1.51

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.73
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 3.5 3.4
Under 1.5 3.39
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.93

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.32

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.83

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.77
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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC?

Over 1.5 Goals — AEK Larnaca see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Pafos FC in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, AEK Larnaca or Pafos FC?

AEK Larnaca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in 1. Division this season, while Pafos FC have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC?

Mixed — AEK Larnaca have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Pafos FC in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this 1. Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC?

Possibly — Pafos FC regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AEK Larnaca or Pafos FC?

Pafos FC have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to AEK Larnaca's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC?

Possibly — Pafos FC frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while AEK Larnaca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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