Premier League · England 🕒 Saturday 7th February, 15:00 GMT

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

AFC Bournemouth Home · 12th 3W 6D 1L last 10 home
VS
Aston Villa Away · 3rd 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
AFC Bournemouth 37% Draw 24% Aston Villa 40%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

AFC Bournemouth see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Aston Villa in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
37% AFC Bournemouth win 24% Draw 40% Aston Villa win 64% BTTS 62% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Over 1.5 Goals

AFC Bournemouth sit 12th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Aston Villa are 3rd after 21 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. AFC Bournemouth have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Aston Villa have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

AFC Bournemouth have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Aston Villa in 50% away (5/10). AFC Bournemouth average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, Aston Villa 1.3 and 1.2 on the road.

AFC Bournemouth frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Aston Villa are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

AFC Bournemouth regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Aston Villa are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where AFC Bournemouth (12th) and Aston Villa (3rd) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Aston Villa A 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
6 AFC Bournemouth H 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa A 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth H 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Aston Villa have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while AFC Bournemouth have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H AFC Bournemouth — last 10 home A Aston Villa — last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

AFC Bournemouth frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H AFC Bournemouth — last 10 home A Aston Villa — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 64% · BTTS No 36%

Match Goals

AFC Bournemouth have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H AFC Bournemouth — last 10 home A Aston Villa — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

AFC Bournemouth have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Aston Villa in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

AFC Bournemouth 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Aston Villa 1.3 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H AFC Bournemouth — last 10 home A Aston Villa — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: AFC Bournemouth 18 scored / 14 conceded at home · Aston Villa 13 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

AFC Bournemouth regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Aston Villa are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H AFC Bournemouth — last 10 home A Aston Villa — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

AFC Bournemouth win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H AFC Bournemouth — last 10 home A Aston Villa — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between AFC Bournemouth and Aston Villa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

09 Nov 2025
Aston Villa
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 May 2025
AFC Bournemouth
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Apr 2024
Aston Villa
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
03 Dec 2023
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Mar 2023
Aston Villa
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Aug 2022
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2020
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Aug 2019
Aston Villa
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Apr 2016
Aston Villa
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value AFC Bournemouth 3 Model: 37%
Draw 3.8 Model: 24%
Aston Villa 2.46 Model: 40%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.58 Model: 64%
No 2.66 Model: 36%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 82%
Value Over 2.5 1.68 Model: 62%
Value Over 3.5 2.69 Model: 39%
Under 1.5 5.34 Model: 18%
Under 2.5 2.44 Model: 38%
Under 3.5 1.57 Model: 61%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.26 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 2.44

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17 Model: 61%
Over 9.5 1.33 Model: 49%
Over 10.5 1.54 Model: 38%
Over 11.5 1.87 Model: 28%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

AFC Bournemouth 3.41 Model: 29%
Draw 2.47 Model: 40%
Aston Villa 2.98 Model: 32%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw 1.58 Model: 60%
AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa 1.32 Model: 76%
Draw or Aston Villa 1.41 Model: 63%

AFC Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 1.23 Model: 73%
Over 1.5 2.29 Model: 42%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 1.93 Model: 46%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Over 8.5 Corners — AFC Bournemouth see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Aston Villa in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa?

Aston Villa hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over AFC Bournemouth at home (30% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between AFC Bournemouth and Aston Villa?

Possibly — AFC Bournemouth frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Aston Villa are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AFC Bournemouth and Aston Villa?

Uncertain — AFC Bournemouth have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa?

AFC Bournemouth have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Aston Villa's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between AFC Bournemouth and Aston Villa?

Possibly — AFC Bournemouth regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Aston Villa are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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