Ajax vs Excelsior

πŸ“ Eredivisie, Netherlands
πŸ•’ Saturday 22nd November, 17:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Ajax sit 4th in the table after 11 games, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Excelsior are 16th after 11 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Ajax have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Excelsior have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Ajax have been involved in high-scoring home games this season β€” Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Excelsior are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season β€” Ajax in 70% of home games (7/10), Excelsior in 80% away (8/10). Ajax have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Excelsior in 90% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season β€” Ajax see 8+ in 60% of home games, Excelsior in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes β€” Ajax see both teams score in 70% of home games, Excelsior in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Eredivisie table for the 2025/2026 season, with Ajax (4th) and Excelsior (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Eredivisie 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 +56 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 +26 65
3 Ajax H 35 15 14 6 64:41 +23 59
4 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 +24 59
5 FC Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 +19 58
6 FC Utrecht 35 16 8 11 58:44 +14 56
7 AZ 34 14 10 10 58:51 +7 52
8 SC Heerenveen 35 14 9 12 59:56 +3 51
9 FC Groningen 35 14 6 15 49:47 +2 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
12 Excelsior A 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
13 Go Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 +1 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
18 Heracles Almelo 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19

Team Form

Ajax have won 40% of home games this season, Excelsior 30% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ajax have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Excelsior in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net β€” the stats support a goal at each end.

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Ajax frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Excelsior are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Ajax have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Excelsior in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Ajax (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Excelsior (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Ajax have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Excelsior have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Ajax (Home Form) Excelsior (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ajax and Excelsior. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up β€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24th Apr, 2024
Ajax
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Excelsior
19th Aug, 2023
Excelsior
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Ajax
29th Jan, 2023
Excelsior
1 – 4 HT: 1-2
Ajax
16th Oct, 2022
Ajax
7 – 1 HT: 3-0
Excelsior
13th Apr, 2019
Ajax
6 – 2 HT: 3-1
Excelsior
11th Nov, 2018
Excelsior
1 – 7 HT: 0-2
Ajax
6th May, 2018
Excelsior
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Ajax
14th Dec, 2017
Ajax
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Excelsior
19th Mar, 2017
Excelsior
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ajax
7th Jan, 2017
Ajax
1 – 3 HT:
Excelsior

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ajax vs Excelsior across a range of markets β€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change β€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Ajax 1.31
Draw 6.19
Excelsior 8.61

Half Time Result

Ajax 1.68
Draw 3.16
Excelsior 7.56

Double Chance

Ajax or Draw 1.08
Ajax or Excelsior 1.15
Draw or Excelsior 3.38

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.65
No 2.31

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.39
Over 3.5 1.82
Under 1.5 6.76
Under 2.5 2.85
Under 3.5 1.97

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 1.97

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 1.89
Over 11.5 2.11

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.3

Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 3.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Phoenix vs Vaprus II 17:00 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Vaprus II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • B68 vs HB 17:15 BST | Meistaradeildin, Faroe Islands B68 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · HB have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • South Melbourne vs Avondale Heights 10:30 BST | Npl Victoria, Australia South Melbourne have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Avondale Heights have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    75% combined
  • FA Ε iauliai vs FK Riteriai 16:30 BST | A Lyga, Lithuania FA Ε iauliai have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · FK Riteriai have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.66
    69% combined

Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ajax vs Excelsior?

Both Teams to Score β€” Ajax see BTTS in 70% of home games, Excelsior in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Ajax or Excelsior?

Ajax have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Excelsior on the road (30% wins) in Eredivisie. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Ajax and Excelsior?

Yes β€” both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Ajax have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Excelsior in 80% of away games in Eredivisie. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ajax and Excelsior?

Possibly β€” Ajax frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Excelsior are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ajax or Excelsior?

Excelsior have the stronger away scoring record β€” 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Ajax's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ajax and Excelsior?

Ajax have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Excelsior in 60% of away games in Eredivisie. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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