Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Eredivisie, Netherlands
🕒 Saturday 21st February, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

NEC Nijmegen have a clear advantage in away form this season (7/10, 70%), while Ajax are less dominant at home (5/10, 50%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

NEC Nijmegen have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

NEC Nijmegen regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Ajax see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, NEC Nijmegen in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Eredivisie table for the 2025/2026 season, with Ajax (4th) and NEC Nijmegen (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Eredivisie 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 PSV 30 24 2 4 84:40 +44 74
2 Feyenoord 30 16 7 7 62:41 +21 55
3 NEC Nijmegen A 30 15 9 6 72:48 +24 54
4 FC Twente 30 14 11 5 51:32 +19 53
5 Ajax H 30 13 12 5 57:37 +20 51
6 AZ 30 14 6 10 52:45 +7 48
7 SC Heerenveen 30 12 8 10 53:50 +3 44
8 FC Utrecht 30 12 8 10 49:36 +13 44
9 Sparta Rotterdam 30 12 6 12 35:49 -14 42
10 FC Groningen 30 12 6 12 42:37 +5 42
11 Fortuna Sittard 30 10 6 14 44:55 -11 36
12 Go Ahead Eagles 30 8 12 10 50:45 +5 36
13 PEC Zwolle 30 8 10 12 40:60 -20 34
14 Excelsior 30 7 7 16 31:51 -20 28
15 FC Volendam 30 7 7 16 31:50 -19 28
16 Telstar 30 6 9 15 39:52 -13 27
17 NAC Breda 30 5 10 15 30:51 -21 25
18 Heracles Almelo 30 5 4 21 34:77 -43 19

Team Form

NEC Nijmegen have shown strong away form this season (70% wins), while Ajax have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

NEC Nijmegen regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 9 (90%)

Match Goals

NEC Nijmegen regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Under Goals

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Team Goals

Ajax have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, NEC Nijmegen in 50% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

NEC Nijmegen frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Ajax have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

NEC Nijmegen have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Ajax (Home Form) NEC Nijmegen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Dec 2025
NEC Nijmegen
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2025
Ajax
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Dec 2024
NEC Nijmegen
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Feb 2024
Ajax
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
NEC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Dec 2023
NEC
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Mar 2023
Ajax
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
NEC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Jan 2023
NEC
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Apr 2022
NEC
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Aug 2021
Ajax
5 – 0 HT: 5-0
NEC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Apr 2017
NEC
1 – 5 HT: 0-3
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Ajax 1.9
Draw 4.4
NEC Nijmegen 4

Half Time Result

Ajax 2.29
Draw 2.69
NEC Nijmegen 4.34

Double Chance

Ajax or Draw 1.23
Ajax or NEC Nijmegen 1.24
Draw or NEC Nijmegen 2.09

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.44
No 2.84

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 3.5 2.2
Under 1.5 5.96
Under 2.5 2.9
Under 3.5 1.64

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.29
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 2.09
Over 11.5 2.29

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.58

NEC Nijmegen Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.48

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Santutxu U19 vs Real Sociedad U19 18:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 2, Spain Santutxu U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Real Sociedad U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.47
    80% combined
  • Sporting SM II vs Costa del Este 22:00 BST | Liga Prom, Panama Sporting SM II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Costa del Este have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.62
    75% combined
  • Al-Najma vs Al Budaiya 17:00 BST | Premier League, Bahrain Al-Najma have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/8 home matches this season · Al Budaiya have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    75% combined
  • Al Jazeera vs Al Buqa'a 16:00 BST | Premier League, Jordan Al Jazeera have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 home matches this season · Al Buqa'a have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 9.76
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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Over 1.5 Goals — Ajax see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, NEC Nijmegen in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Ajax or NEC Nijmegen?

NEC Nijmegen hold a slight form advantage away (70% wins) over Ajax at home (50% wins) in Eredivisie. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen?

Possibly — NEC Nijmegen regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen?

Possibly — NEC Nijmegen regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ajax or NEC Nijmegen?

NEC Nijmegen have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of away games compared to Ajax's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen?

Possibly — NEC Nijmegen frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Ajax are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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