Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Copa Sudamericana, South America
🕒 Wednesday 4th March, 02:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Alianza Atlético (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Deportivo Garcilaso on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Alianza Atlético at 30% at home and Deportivo Garcilaso at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Alianza Atlético at 30% at home and Deportivo Garcilaso at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Alianza Atlético have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Copa Sudamericana table for the 2026 season, with Alianza Atlético (1st) and Deportivo Garcilaso (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Copa Sudamericana 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Cuenca 2 2 0 0 4:0 +4 6
2 Montevideo City Torque 2 2 0 0 2:0 +2 6
3 Olimpia 2 2 0 0 3:0 +3 6
4 Macará 2 1 1 0 2:1 +1 4
5 América de Cali 2 1 1 0 3:2 +1 4
6 Alianza Atlético H 2 1 1 0 3:1 +2 4
7 Academia Puerto Cabello 2 1 1 0 2:1 +1 4
8 Palestino 2 1 1 0 2:1 +1 4
9 Blooming 2 1 1 0 4:1 +3 4
10 Boston River 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
11 São Paulo 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
12 Millonarios 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
13 O'Higgins 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
14 Racing Club 1 1 0 0 3:1 +2 3
15 Carabobo 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
16 Deportivo Recoleta 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
17 Cienciano 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
18 Caracas 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
19 San Lorenzo 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
20 Tigre 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
21 Nacional Asunción 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
22 Melgar 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
23 Juventud 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
24 Deportivo Riestra 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
25 Vasco da Gama 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
26 Audax Italiano 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
27 Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
28 Botafogo 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
29 Independiente Petrolero 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
30 River Plate 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
31 Monagas 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
32 Metropolitanos 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
33 Cobresal 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
34 Guabirá 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
35 Santos 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
36 Libertad 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
37 Orense 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
38 Atlético Mineiro 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
39 Racing 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
40 Defensor Sporting 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
41 Grêmio 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
42 Sportivo Trinidense 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
43 Atlético Nacional 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
44 Atlético Bucaramanga 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
45 Bragantino 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
46 Universidad Chile 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
47 Deportivo Garcilaso A 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
48 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0

Team Form

Deportivo Garcilaso have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Alianza Atlético have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alianza Atlético (30% BTTS at home) and Deportivo Garcilaso (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Alianza Atlético (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Deportivo Garcilaso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Alianza Atlético have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Deportivo Garcilaso in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Alianza Atlético have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Alianza Atlético have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Deportivo Garcilaso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) Deportivo Garcilaso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Oct 2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 – 4 HT: 0-2
Alianza Atlético
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 May 2025
Alianza Atlético
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Aug 2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Alianza Atlético
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Feb 2024
Alianza Atlético
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Oct 2023
Alianza Atlético
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 May 2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Alianza Atlético
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Alianza Atlético 2.32
Draw 2.9
Deportivo Garcilaso 3.8

Half Time Result

Alianza Atlético 2.88
Draw 1.95
Deportivo Garcilaso 4.65

Double Chance

Alianza Atlético or Draw 1.24
Alianza Atlético or Deportivo Garcilaso 1.4
Draw or Deportivo Garcilaso 1.68

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.77

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.56
Over 2.5 2.74
Over 3.5 5.8
Under 1.5 2.72
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 3.5 1.19

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.56
Over 1.5 3.52

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.41
Over 9.5 1.9
Over 10.5 2.82
Over 11.5 3.11

Alianza Atlético Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.64

Deportivo Garcilaso Goals

Over 0.5 1.61
Over 1.5 4.05

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Under 2.5 Goals — Alianza Atlético have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Alianza Atlético or Deportivo Garcilaso?

Alianza Atlético have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Deportivo Garcilaso on the road (20% wins) in Copa Sudamericana. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso?

Unlikely — Alianza Atlético (30% BTTS at home) and Deportivo Garcilaso (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Copa Sudamericana. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso?

Unlikely — Alianza Atlético (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Deportivo Garcilaso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Copa Sudamericana. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Alianza Atlético or Deportivo Garcilaso?

Deportivo Garcilaso have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Alianza Atlético's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso?

Alianza Atlético have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 40% of away games in Copa Sudamericana. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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