La Liga 2 · Spain 🕒 Saturday 20th June, 20:00 BST

Almería vs Málaga Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Almería Home 9W 0D 1L last 10 home
VS
Málaga Away 6W 2D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Almería 48% Draw 24% Málaga 27%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Almería vs Málaga Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Almería have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home games, Málaga in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
48% Almería win 24% Draw 27% Málaga win 63% BTTS 61% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Over 1.5 Goals

Almería average 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Málaga average 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded in away fixtures. Almería have won 9/10 home games (90%) this season; Málaga have won 6/10 on the road (60%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Almería have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). Málaga are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Almería in 80% of home games (8/10), Málaga in 60% away (6/10). Almería have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Málaga in 100% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Almería see 8+ in 70% of home games, Málaga in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Almería and Málaga sit in the La Liga 2 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Almería H 44 23 9 12 85:66 +19 78
3 Málaga A 44 22 11 11 77:53 +24 77
View the full La Liga 2 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 +29 82
2 Almería H 44 23 9 12 85:66 +19 78
3 Málaga A 44 22 11 11 77:53 +24 77
4 Deportivo La Coruña 42 22 11 9 65:44 +21 77
5 Las Palmas 44 20 14 10 58:42 +16 74
6 Castellón 44 20 13 11 73:55 +18 73
7 Burgos 42 20 12 10 48:33 +15 72
8 SD Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 +12 67
9 Sporting Gijón 42 18 7 17 60:54 +6 61
10 Córdoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
11 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 +1 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 +8 58
14 Granada 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
15 Real Sociedad II 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
16 Leganés 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
17 Real Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
18 Cádiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
19 Mirandés 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36

Team Form

Málaga have lost 20% of their away matches this season, while Almería have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Almería — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Won
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Drawn
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Almería have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Málaga in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

H Almería — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 63% · BTTS No 37%

Match Goals

Almería frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Málaga are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Almería — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Almería have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games this season, Málaga in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Almería 2.7 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Málaga 2.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H Almería — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Almería 27 scored / 13 conceded at home · Málaga 22 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Almería (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Málaga (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Almería — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Almería have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Málaga have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Almería — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Österlen vs Nosaby 18:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Österlen have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nosaby have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    90% combined
  • Cerrado U20 vs Grêmio Anápolis U20 19:00 BST | Goiano U20, Brazil Cerrado U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Grêmio Anápolis U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    84% combined
  • Campbelltown City vs West Torrens Birkalla 11:00 BST | Npl South Australian, Australia Campbelltown City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · West Torrens Birkalla have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Eltham Redbacks 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Eltham Redbacks have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 6.49
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Almería vs Málaga Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Almería vs Málaga?

Over 2.5 Goals — Almería have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home games, Málaga in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Almería or Málaga?

Almería have a slight form edge at home (90% wins) over Málaga on the road (60% wins) in La Liga 2. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Almería and Málaga?

Possibly — Almería frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Málaga are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Almería and Málaga?

Possibly — Almería frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Málaga are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Almería or Málaga?

Almería have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of home games compared to Málaga's 40% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Almería and Málaga?

Almería have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Málaga in 30% of away games in La Liga 2. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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