Arda vs Cherno More — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 First League, Bulgaria
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 11:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Arda hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Cherno More are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Arda 40% Over 2.5 at home, Cherno More 60% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Arda 20% at home, Cherno More 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Cherno More regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Arda have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Cherno More in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full First League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arda (th) and Cherno More (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

First League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 30 22 4 4 64:22 +42 70
2 Ludogorets 30 17 9 4 57:20 +37 60
3 CSKA 1948 Sofia 30 18 5 7 50:31 +19 59
4 CSKA Sofia 30 16 8 6 43:23 +20 56
5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 29 11 13 5 30:29 +1 46
6 Arda H 30 12 8 10 33:27 +6 44
7 Cherno More A 30 11 11 8 33:26 +7 44
8 Slavia Sofia 30 10 9 11 36:33 +3 39
9 Botev Vratsa 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
10 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 30 9 10 11 40:39 +1 37
11 Botev Plovdiv 29 10 7 12 36:37 -1 37
12 Spartak Varna 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
13 Septemvri Sofia 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
14 Dobrudzha 1919 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
15 Beroe 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
16 Montana 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17

Team Form

Arda hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Cherno More have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arda have seen both teams score in 20% of home games, Cherno More in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Arda have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Cherno More in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Arda have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cherno More in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Arda have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Cherno More in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Arda have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Cherno More have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Arda (Home Form) Cherno More (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W 17:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Bayern Munich W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • College Corinthians vs Mayfield United 18:45 BST | Munster Senior League, Republic of Ireland College Corinthians have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Mayfield United have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    80% combined
  • Malahide United vs Killester Donnycarney 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    80% combined
  • Excelsior Rotterdam W vs NAC Breda W 17:45 BST | Eredivisie Women, Netherlands Excelsior Rotterdam W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · NAC Breda W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.94
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Arda vs Cherno More Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arda vs Cherno More?

Under 3.5 Goals — Arda have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Cherno More in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Arda or Cherno More?

Arda hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in First League this season, while Cherno More have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Arda and Cherno More?

Mixed — Arda have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Cherno More in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this First League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arda and Cherno More?

Uncertain — Arda have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Cherno More in 60% of away games in First League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arda or Cherno More?

Cherno More have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Arda's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arda and Cherno More?

Arda have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Cherno More in 50% of away games in First League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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