Aretxabaleta vs Derio Football Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Aretxabaleta sit 10th in the table after 23 games, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per home match this season. Derio are 7th after 23 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Aretxabaleta have won 60% of home games, Derio 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Goals look likely from both ends. Aretxabaleta have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home fixtures this season (10/10), and Derio in 70% of away games (7/10). Aretxabaleta average 2.6 scored and 2 conceded at home; Derio 1.7 and 1.4 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Aretxabaleta in 100% of home games (10/10), Derio in 60% away (6/10). Aretxabaleta have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Derio in 80% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Aretxabaleta see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Derio in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Aretxabaleta have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home games, Derio in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Aretxabaleta (10th) and Derio (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 +41 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 +16 61
3 Derio A 34 17 7 10 54:40 +14 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 +20 57
5 Touring 34 16 9 9 47:35 +12 57
6 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 +10 55
7 Aurrerá Vitoria 34 16 7 11 42:40 +2 55
8 Real Sociedad III 34 16 5 13 47:39 +8 53
9 Deportivo Alavés III 34 14 9 11 56:40 +16 51
10 Aretxabaleta H 34 13 6 15 56:61 -5 45
11 Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 -1 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 -13 39
13 Añorga 33 11 4 18 37:56 -19 37
14 Eibar III 34 9 9 16 44:53 -9 36
15 Pasaia KE 34 8 10 16 23:46 -23 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 -17 33
17 Zarautz 34 8 6 20 30:60 -30 30
18 Deusto 33 6 7 20 24:46 -22 25

Team Form

Aretxabaleta (60% home wins) and Derio (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aretxabaleta have seen both teams score in 100% of home games this season, Derio in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 10 (100%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 100% of Aretxabaleta's home games and 70% of Derio's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Aretxabaleta have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Derio in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 26 (2.6 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 20 (2 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Aretxabaleta have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Derio in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Aretxabaleta have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Derio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Aretxabaleta and Derio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

31 Oct 2025
Derio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aretxabaleta
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Mar 2025
Derio
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aretxabaleta
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Nov 2024
Aretxabaleta
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Derio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aretxabaleta vs Derio across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Aretxabaleta 2.62
Draw 3.14
Derio 2.47

Half Time Result

Aretxabaleta 3.25
Draw 2.2
Derio 2.87

Double Chance

Aretxabaleta or Draw 1.53
Aretxabaleta or Derio 1.22
Draw or Derio 1.4

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3
Under 1.5 3.55
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.37

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 2.67

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Aretxabaleta vs Derio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Derio?

Over 2.5 Goals — Aretxabaleta have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home games, Derio in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Aretxabaleta or Derio?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Aretxabaleta have won 60% of home games, Derio 60% away in Tercera - Group 4. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Aretxabaleta and Derio?

Possibly — Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (100%), while Derio are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aretxabaleta and Derio?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 100% of Aretxabaleta's home games and 70% of Derio's away games in Tercera - Group 4. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aretxabaleta or Derio?

Aretxabaleta have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Derio's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aretxabaleta and Derio?

Aretxabaleta have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Derio in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 4. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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