Aretxabaleta vs Leioa — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain
🕒 Saturday 14th February, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

See Stats Below

Both teams are evenly matched — Aretxabaleta have won 60% of home games, Leioa 60% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Aretxabaleta consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Leioa are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Aretxabaleta often see both teams score at home (80%), while Leioa are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Aretxabaleta (11th) and Leioa (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 30 22 5 3 62:23 +39 71
2 Touring 30 16 8 6 42:27 +15 56
3 Leioa A 30 16 6 8 42:28 +14 54
4 Lagun Onak 30 16 4 10 48:28 +20 52
5 San Ignacio 30 14 7 9 33:23 +10 49
6 Aurrerá Vitoria 30 14 6 10 37:36 +1 48
7 Derio 30 14 6 10 47:36 +11 48
8 Deportivo Alavés III 30 12 9 9 50:34 +16 45
9 Aretxabaleta H 30 12 6 12 48:50 -2 42
10 Real Sociedad III 30 12 5 13 33:35 -2 41
11 Durango 30 9 10 11 30:31 -1 37
12 Añorga 30 10 3 17 33:52 -19 33
13 Santurtzi 30 7 11 12 27:39 -12 32
14 Zamudio 30 9 5 16 39:50 -11 32
15 Pasaia KE 30 7 9 14 20:40 -20 30
16 Eibar III 30 7 8 15 33:48 -15 29
17 Zarautz 30 7 5 18 26:56 -30 26
18 Deusto 30 6 7 17 22:36 -14 25

Team Form

Aretxabaleta (60% home wins) and Leioa (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Leioa are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Aretxabaleta frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leioa are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Aretxabaleta have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Leioa in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Aretxabaleta (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Leioa (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Aretxabaleta have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Leioa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Aretxabaleta (Home Form) Leioa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Aretxabaleta and Leioa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Oct 2025
Leioa
2 – 4 HT: 1-2
Aretxabaleta
01 Feb 2025
Leioa
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Aretxabaleta
22 Sep 2024
Aretxabaleta
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Leioa
10 Jan 2010
Leioa
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aretxabaleta
06 Sep 2009
Aretxabaleta
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Leioa

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aretxabaleta vs Leioa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Aretxabaleta 3.18
Draw 3.45
Leioa 2.08

Total Goals

Over 2.5 1.87
Under 2.5 1.87

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined

Aretxabaleta vs Leioa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Leioa?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Aretxabaleta or Leioa?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Aretxabaleta have won 60% of home games, Leioa 60% away in Tercera - Group 4. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Aretxabaleta and Leioa?

Possibly — Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Leioa are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aretxabaleta and Leioa?

Possibly — Aretxabaleta frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leioa are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aretxabaleta or Leioa?

Aretxabaleta have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Leioa's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aretxabaleta and Leioa?

Unlikely — Aretxabaleta (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Leioa (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 4.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Pasaia KE vs Aretxabaleta

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Wednesday 15th April, 19:00 BST

Touring vs Deportivo Alavés III

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Thursday 16th April, 19:00 BST

Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Thursday 16th April, 19:00 BST

Lagun Onak vs Durango

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Thursday 16th April, 19:30 BST

Portugalete vs Eibar III

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Friday 17th April, 18:00 BST

San Ignacio vs Leioa

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Deusto vs Añorga

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Zarautz vs Santurtzi

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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