Arouca vs Estrela Amadora — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 19th April, 15:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Arouca (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Estrela Amadora on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both Arouca and Estrela Amadora have been involved in high-scoring games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Arouca's home games and 70% of Estrela Amadora's away games. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.

Both Arouca and Estrela Amadora frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Estrela Amadora regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Arouca have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arouca (th) and Estrela Amadora (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 28 23 4 1 56:13 +43 73
2 Sporting CP 28 22 5 1 73:17 +56 71
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61:18 +43 69
4 Sporting Braga 28 15 7 6 55:27 +28 52
5 Famalicão 29 13 8 8 36:25 +11 47
6 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42:28 +14 45
7 Estoril 28 10 7 11 50:47 +3 37
8 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32:41 -9 36
9 Vitória Guimarães 29 10 6 13 35:43 -8 36
10 Alverca 29 9 8 12 32:47 -15 35
11 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31:48 -17 33
12 Arouca H 29 9 5 15 37:58 -21 32
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26:37 -11 28
14 Estrela Amadora A 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
15 Nacional 29 6 7 16 31:41 -10 25
16 Casa Pia 28 5 10 13 28:52 -24 25
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19:44 -25 20
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19:62 -43 12

Team Form

Estrela Amadora have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Arouca have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arouca have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Arouca's home games and 70% of Estrela Amadora's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Arouca have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Estrela Amadora in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 17 (1.7 avg) 23 (2.3 avg)

Match Corners

Arouca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Arouca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Estrela Amadora have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Arouca (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Arouca vs Estrela Amadora Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arouca vs Estrela Amadora?

Over 2.5 Goals — Arouca have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arouca or Estrela Amadora?

Arouca have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Estrela Amadora on the road (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arouca and Estrela Amadora?

Mixed — Arouca have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arouca and Estrela Amadora?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Arouca's home games and 70% of Estrela Amadora's away games in Liga Portugal. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arouca or Estrela Amadora?

Arouca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Estrela Amadora's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arouca and Estrela Amadora?

Arouca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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