Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Tuesday 17th March, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Arsenal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Bayer 04 Leverkusen have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Arsenal frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Bayer 04 Leverkusen are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Arsenal at 30% at home and Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (1st) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 12 11 0 1 38:14 +24 33
2 Arsenal H 12 10 2 0 27:5 +22 32
3 Paris Saint Germain 14 9 3 2 38:17 +21 30
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
7 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
8 Atlético Madrid 14 7 2 5 34:26 +8 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
15 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Arsenal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal (30% BTTS at home) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Arsenal (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Mar 2026
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Aug 2024
Arsenal
4 – 1 HT: 3-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Feb 2002
Arsenal
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Feb 2002
Bayer Leverkusen
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 1.34
Draw 5.8
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11

Half Time Result

Arsenal 1.75
Draw 2.62
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8.5

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.07
Arsenal or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.17
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.52

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.22
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.9
Under 1.5 5
Under 2.5 2.34
Under 3.5 1.51

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.47

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 2.21
Over 11.5 2.45

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.41

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 1.94
Over 1.5 5.6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Arsenal hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Champions League this season, while Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Unlikely — Arsenal (30% BTTS at home) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Champions League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Uncertain — Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 30% of away games in Champions League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Arsenal's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 60% of away games in Champions League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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