Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Tuesday 17th March, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Arsenal hold a clear edge at home this season (7/10, 70%), while Bayer 04 Leverkusen are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Arsenal at 40% at home and Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Arsenal 20% at home, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Arsenal usually generate 8+ corners at home (60%), while Bayer 04 Leverkusen are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (1st) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 15 10 3 2 43:21 +22 33
2 Arsenal H 13 10 3 0 28:6 +22 33
3 FC Bayern München 13 11 0 2 42:19 +23 33
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 Atlético Madrid 15 7 3 5 35:27 +8 24
7 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
8 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
15 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Arsenal hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while Bayer 04 Leverkusen have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal have seen both teams score in 20% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Mar 2026
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Aug 2024
Arsenal
4 – 1 HT: 3-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Feb 2002
Arsenal
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Feb 2002
Bayer Leverkusen
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 1.34
Draw 5.8
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11

Half Time Result

Arsenal 1.75
Draw 2.62
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8.5

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.07
Arsenal or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.17
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.52

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.22
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.9
Under 1.5 5
Under 2.5 2.34
Under 3.5 1.51

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.47

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 2.21
Over 11.5 2.45

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.41

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 1.94
Over 1.5 5.6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.47
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Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Arsenal have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the road (50% wins) in Champions League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Mixed — Arsenal have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Champions League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Uncertain — Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 40% of away games in Champions League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Arsenal's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 50% of away games in Champions League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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