Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Carabao Cup, England
🕒 Wednesday 29th October, 19:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Arsenal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Brighton & Hove Albion have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Arsenal 90% at home, Brighton & Hove Albion 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Arsenal 40% at home, Brighton & Hove Albion 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Brighton & Hove Albion often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Arsenal see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Carabao Cup table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (1st) and Brighton & Hove Albion (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Carabao Cup 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 14:2 +12 18
2 Arsenal H 6 4 1 1 9:5 +4 13
3 Cardiff City 5 4 0 1 10:6 +4 12
4 Newcastle United 5 3 0 2 9:7 +2 9
5 Chelsea 5 3 0 2 11:9 +2 9
6 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 2 0 5:2 +3 8
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 9:7 +2 7
9 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4:2 +2 7
10 Grimsby Town 4 2 1 1 6:8 -2 7
11 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8:3 +5 7
12 Swansea City 4 2 1 1 8:7 +1 7
13 Doncaster Rovers 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
14 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 6:5 +1 6
15 Southampton 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
16 Brighton & Hove Albion A 3 2 0 1 12:2 +10 6
17 Lincoln City 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
18 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
19 Reading 3 2 0 1 4:4 0 6
20 Accrington Stanley 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
21 Wigan Athletic 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
22 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
23 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 0 1 8:6 +2 6
24 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 5:2 +3 5
25 Plymouth Argyle 2 1 1 0 4:3 +1 4
26 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 4:9 -5 4
27 Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
28 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
29 Preston North End 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
30 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
31 Oxford United 2 1 0 1 1:6 -5 3
32 Norwich City 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
33 Birmingham City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Coventry City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
35 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 Charlton Athletic 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
37 Everton 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
38 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
39 Burnley 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
40 Cheltenham Town 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
41 Huddersfield Town 3 0 2 1 3:5 -2 2
42 Sheffield Wednesday 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
43 Bromley 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
44 Tranmere Rovers 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
45 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
46 Salford City 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 Rotherham United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
48 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
49 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
50 Bolton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
51 Leeds United 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
52 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
53 Stoke City 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
54 Walsall 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
55 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
56 Derby County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
57 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
58 Manchester United 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
59 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Newport County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
61 West Bromwich Albion 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
62 Ipswich Town 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Barnet 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
64 Hull City 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
65 Queens Park Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
66 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
67 Crewe Alexandra 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
68 Colchester United 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
69 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
71 Luton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
72 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
73 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
76 Northampton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
77 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
78 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
79 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
80 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
81 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
82 Oldham Athletic 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
83 Peterborough United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
84 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Notts County 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
86 Shrewsbury Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
88 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
90 Watford 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
91 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
92 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0

Team Form

Arsenal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Brighton & Hove Albion's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Arsenal 90% at home, Brighton & Hove Albion 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Brighton & Hove Albion in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Brighton & Hove Albion frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Arsenal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Brighton & Hove Albion have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 10 (100%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

4th Jan, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Arsenal
Corners 2–5 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Aug, 2024
Arsenal
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
Corners 3–7 Cards 6–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Apr, 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Arsenal
Corners 8–7 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Dec, 2023
Arsenal
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
Corners 10–1 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th May, 2023
Arsenal
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
Corners 5–2 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Dec, 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 – 4 HT: 0-2
Arsenal
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Nov, 2022
Arsenal
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Corners 8–2 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Apr, 2022
Arsenal
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Corners 11–2 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Oct, 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
Corners 8–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd May, 2021
Arsenal
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
Corners 11–3 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 1.8
Draw 3.6
Brighton & Hove Albion 4.5

Half Time Result

Arsenal 2.3
Draw 2.37
Brighton & Hove Albion 4.6

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.22
Arsenal or Brighton & Hove Albion 1.29
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion 2.37

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.77
No 2.24

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.8
Over 3.5 3
Under 1.5 4.5
Under 2.5 2.2
Under 3.5 1.48

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.19
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.65
Over 11.5 2.02

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.79

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.15

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Over 8.5 Corners — Arsenal see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Arsenal hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Carabao Cup this season, while Brighton & Hove Albion have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Mixed — Arsenal have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Carabao Cup fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Uncertain — Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 50% of away games in Carabao Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Arsenal have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Brighton & Hove Albion's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Possibly — Brighton & Hove Albion frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Arsenal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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