Arsenal vs Chelsea — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Carabao Cup, England
🕒 Tuesday 3rd February, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Arsenal (70% home wins) hold a slight edge over Chelsea on the road (60% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Chelsea have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 90%), while Arsenal are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Chelsea regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Chelsea regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Carabao Cup table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (1st) and Chelsea (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Carabao Cup 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 14:2 +12 18
2 Arsenal H 6 4 1 1 9:5 +4 13
3 Cardiff City 5 4 0 1 10:6 +4 12
4 Newcastle United 5 3 0 2 9:7 +2 9
5 Chelsea A 5 3 0 2 11:9 +2 9
6 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 2 0 5:2 +3 8
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 9:7 +2 7
9 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4:2 +2 7
10 Grimsby Town 4 2 1 1 6:8 -2 7
11 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8:3 +5 7
12 Swansea City 4 2 1 1 8:7 +1 7
13 Doncaster Rovers 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
14 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 6:5 +1 6
15 Southampton 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 2 0 1 12:2 +10 6
17 Lincoln City 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
18 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
19 Reading 3 2 0 1 4:4 0 6
20 Accrington Stanley 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
21 Wigan Athletic 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
22 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
23 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 0 1 8:6 +2 6
24 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 5:2 +3 5
25 Plymouth Argyle 2 1 1 0 4:3 +1 4
26 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 4:9 -5 4
27 Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
28 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
29 Preston North End 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
30 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
31 Oxford United 2 1 0 1 1:6 -5 3
32 Norwich City 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
33 Birmingham City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Coventry City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
35 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 Charlton Athletic 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
37 Everton 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
38 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
39 Burnley 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
40 Cheltenham Town 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
41 Huddersfield Town 3 0 2 1 3:5 -2 2
42 Sheffield Wednesday 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
43 Bromley 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
44 Tranmere Rovers 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
45 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
46 Salford City 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 Rotherham United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
48 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
49 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
50 Bolton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
51 Leeds United 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
52 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
53 Stoke City 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
54 Walsall 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
55 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
56 Derby County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
57 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
58 Manchester United 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
59 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Newport County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
61 West Bromwich Albion 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
62 Ipswich Town 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Barnet 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
64 Hull City 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
65 Queens Park Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
66 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
67 Crewe Alexandra 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
68 Colchester United 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
69 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
71 Luton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
72 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
73 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
76 Northampton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
77 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
78 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
79 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
80 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
81 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
82 Oldham Athletic 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
83 Peterborough United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
84 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Notts County 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
86 Shrewsbury Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
88 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
90 Watford 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
91 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
92 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0

Team Form

Chelsea have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Arsenal have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Chelsea regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Chelsea regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Arsenal are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)

Team Goals

Both sides regularly get on the scoresheet — Arsenal have scored 1+ in 70% of home games, Chelsea in 70% of away games. Goals from both sides look likely even if the totals stay modest.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Chelsea in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Chelsea have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Chelsea. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2 – 3 HT: 0-1
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Nov 2025
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Mar 2025
Arsenal
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Nov 2024
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Apr 2024
Arsenal
5 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Oct 2023
Chelsea
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 May 2023
Arsenal
3 – 1 HT: 3-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2022
Chelsea
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jul 2022
Arsenal
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2022
Chelsea
2 – 4 HT: 2-2
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Chelsea across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 1.76
Draw 4.2
Chelsea 5

Half Time Result

Arsenal 2.25
Draw 2.49
Chelsea 4.75

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.2
Arsenal or Chelsea 1.25
Draw or Chelsea 2.1

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.85
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 3.5 2.62
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.45

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.36
Over 10.5 1.61
Over 11.5 1.95

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.69

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Chelsea?

Arsenal have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Chelsea on the road (60% wins) in Carabao Cup. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Chelsea?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Chelsea?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Arsenal are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Chelsea?

Chelsea have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of away games compared to Arsenal's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Chelsea?

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Chelsea in 60% of away games in Carabao Cup. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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