Arsenal vs Manchester City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Sunday 21st September, 16:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Arsenal hold a clear edge at home this season (7/10, 70%), while Manchester City are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Arsenal 90% at home, Manchester City 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Arsenal 40% at home, Manchester City 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Manchester City in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (3rd) and Manchester City (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal H 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City A 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
16 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Arsenal hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while Manchester City have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Manchester City in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Arsenal 90% at home, Manchester City 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Manchester City in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Arsenal (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Manchester City (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Manchester City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Manchester City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

2nd Feb, 2025
Arsenal
5 – 1 HT: 1-0
Manchester City
Corners 5–2 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Sep, 2024
Manchester City
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Arsenal
Corners 8–2 Cards 3–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Mar, 2024
Manchester City
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
Corners 7–4 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Oct, 2023
Arsenal
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
Corners 5–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Aug, 2023
Arsenal
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
Corners 5–6 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Apr, 2023
Manchester City
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Arsenal
Corners 1–3 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Feb, 2023
Arsenal
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Manchester City
Corners 1–2 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jan, 2023
Manchester City
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
Corners 0–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Jan, 2022
Arsenal
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Manchester City
Corners 5–5 Cards 6–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Aug, 2021
Manchester City
5 – 0 HT: 3-0
Arsenal
Corners 14–0 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Manchester City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 2.12
Draw 3.6
Manchester City 3.95

Half Time Result

Arsenal 2.62
Draw 2.25
Manchester City 4.29

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.32
Arsenal or Manchester City 1.32
Draw or Manchester City 1.72

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.71
No 2.38

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 3.5 3.12
Under 1.5 4.44
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 3.5 1.46

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.7

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.66
Over 9.5 2.1
Over 10.5 2.75
Over 11.5 3.75

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.83
Over 2.5 3.75

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.75
Over 2.5 8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Manchester City?

Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Manchester City in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Manchester City?

Arsenal have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Manchester City on the road (50% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Mixed — Arsenal have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Manchester City in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Uncertain — Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Manchester City?

Arsenal have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Manchester City's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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