Arsenal vs Manchester City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Carabao Cup, England
🕒 Sunday 22nd March, 16:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Arsenal hold a clear edge at home this season (7/10, 70%), while Manchester City are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Arsenal 80% at home, Manchester City 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Arsenal 30% at home, Manchester City 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Manchester City regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Manchester City in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Carabao Cup table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (1st) and Manchester City (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Carabao Cup 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Manchester City A 6 6 0 0 14:2 +12 18
2 Arsenal H 6 4 1 1 9:5 +4 13
3 Cardiff City 5 4 0 1 10:6 +4 12
4 Newcastle United 5 3 0 2 9:7 +2 9
5 Chelsea 5 3 0 2 11:9 +2 9
6 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 2 0 5:2 +3 8
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 9:7 +2 7
9 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4:2 +2 7
10 Grimsby Town 4 2 1 1 6:8 -2 7
11 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8:3 +5 7
12 Swansea City 4 2 1 1 8:7 +1 7
13 Doncaster Rovers 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
14 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 6:5 +1 6
15 Southampton 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 2 0 1 12:2 +10 6
17 Lincoln City 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
18 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
19 Reading 3 2 0 1 4:4 0 6
20 Accrington Stanley 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
21 Wigan Athletic 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
22 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
23 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 0 1 8:6 +2 6
24 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 5:2 +3 5
25 Plymouth Argyle 2 1 1 0 4:3 +1 4
26 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 4:9 -5 4
27 Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
28 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
29 Preston North End 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
30 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
31 Oxford United 2 1 0 1 1:6 -5 3
32 Norwich City 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
33 Birmingham City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Coventry City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
35 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 Charlton Athletic 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
37 Everton 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
38 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
39 Burnley 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
40 Cheltenham Town 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
41 Huddersfield Town 3 0 2 1 3:5 -2 2
42 Sheffield Wednesday 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
43 Bromley 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
44 Tranmere Rovers 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
45 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
46 Salford City 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 Rotherham United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
48 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
49 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
50 Bolton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
51 Leeds United 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
52 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
53 Stoke City 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
54 Walsall 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
55 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
56 Derby County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
57 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
58 Manchester United 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
59 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Newport County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
61 West Bromwich Albion 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
62 Ipswich Town 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Barnet 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
64 Hull City 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
65 Queens Park Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
66 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
67 Crewe Alexandra 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
68 Colchester United 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
69 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
71 Luton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
72 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
73 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
76 Northampton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
77 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
78 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
79 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
80 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
81 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
82 Oldham Athletic 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
83 Peterborough United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
84 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Notts County 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
86 Shrewsbury Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
88 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
90 Watford 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
91 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
92 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0

Team Form

Arsenal hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while Manchester City have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Manchester City in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Arsenal 80% at home, Manchester City 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Manchester City in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Manchester City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Manchester City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Arsenal
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2025
Arsenal
5 – 1 HT: 1-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Manchester City
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2024
Manchester City
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Oct 2023
Arsenal
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Aug 2023
Arsenal
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2023
Manchester City
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2023
Arsenal
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2023
Manchester City
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Jan 2022
Arsenal
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Manchester City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 2.25
Draw 3.32
Manchester City 3.3

Half Time Result

Arsenal 2.9
Draw 2.27
Manchester City 4.03

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.33
Arsenal or Manchester City 1.33
Draw or Manchester City 1.72

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.73
No 2.34

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 2.04
Over 3.5 3.52
Under 1.5 3.56
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 3.5 1.45

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.93

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4
Over 9.5 1.68
Over 10.5 2.4
Over 11.5 2.7

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.21

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • NSA Sofia W vs Paldin W 14:00 BST | Women's League, Bulgaria NSA Sofia W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Paldin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.18
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Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Manchester City?

Over 1.5 Goals — Arsenal see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Manchester City in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Manchester City?

Arsenal have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Manchester City on the road (50% wins) in Carabao Cup. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Mixed — Arsenal have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Manchester City in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Carabao Cup fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Uncertain — Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Manchester City in 50% of away games in Carabao Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Manchester City?

Arsenal have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Manchester City's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games in Carabao Cup. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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