Arsenal vs Manchester City Football Stats

πŸ“ Carabao Cup, England
πŸ•’ Sunday 22nd March, 16:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Arsenal sit 1st in the table after 5 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Manchester City are 2nd after 5 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded on the road. Arsenal have won 7/10 home games (70%) this season; Manchester City have won 6/10 on the road (60%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Arsenal have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Manchester City in 40% away. Arsenal average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Manchester City 1.6 and 0.9 on the road β€” the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Arsenal have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); Manchester City in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Manchester City are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Arsenal are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals β€” Arsenal have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Carabao Cup table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (1st) and Manchester City (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Carabao Cup 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Manchester City A 6 6 0 0 14:2 +12 18
2 Arsenal H 6 4 1 1 9:5 +4 13
3 Cardiff City 5 4 0 1 10:6 +4 12
4 Newcastle United 5 3 0 2 9:7 +2 9
5 Chelsea 5 3 0 2 11:9 +2 9
6 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 2 0 5:2 +3 8
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 9:7 +2 7
9 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4:2 +2 7
10 Grimsby Town 4 2 1 1 6:8 -2 7
11 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8:3 +5 7
12 Swansea City 4 2 1 1 8:7 +1 7
13 Doncaster Rovers 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
14 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 6:5 +1 6
15 Southampton 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 2 0 1 12:2 +10 6
17 Lincoln City 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
18 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
19 Reading 3 2 0 1 4:4 0 6
20 Accrington Stanley 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
21 Wigan Athletic 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
22 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
23 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 0 1 8:6 +2 6
24 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 5:2 +3 5
25 Plymouth Argyle 2 1 1 0 4:3 +1 4
26 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 4:9 -5 4
27 Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
28 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
29 Preston North End 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
30 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
31 Oxford United 2 1 0 1 1:6 -5 3
32 Norwich City 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
33 Birmingham City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Coventry City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
35 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 Charlton Athletic 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
37 Everton 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
38 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
39 Burnley 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
40 Cheltenham Town 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
41 Huddersfield Town 3 0 2 1 3:5 -2 2
42 Sheffield Wednesday 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
43 Bromley 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
44 Tranmere Rovers 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
45 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
46 Salford City 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 Rotherham United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
48 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
49 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
50 Bolton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
51 Leeds United 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
52 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
53 Stoke City 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
54 Walsall 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
55 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
56 Derby County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
57 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
58 Manchester United 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
59 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Newport County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
61 West Bromwich Albion 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
62 Ipswich Town 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Barnet 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
64 Hull City 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
65 Queens Park Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
66 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
67 Crewe Alexandra 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
68 Colchester United 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
69 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
71 Luton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
72 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
73 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
76 Northampton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
77 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
78 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
79 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
80 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
81 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
82 Oldham Athletic 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
83 Peterborough United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
84 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Notts County 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
86 Shrewsbury Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
88 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
90 Watford 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
91 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
92 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0

Team Form

Arsenal have lost 20% of their home matches this season, while Manchester City have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal (20% BTTS at home) and Manchester City (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Manchester City in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Manchester City in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Manchester City frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Manchester City win 6+ corners in 60% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Manchester City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up β€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Arsenal
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2025
Arsenal
5 – 1 HT: 1-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Manchester City
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2024
Manchester City
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Oct 2023
Arsenal
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Aug 2023
Arsenal
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2023
Manchester City
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2023
Arsenal
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2023
Manchester City
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Jan 2022
Arsenal
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Manchester City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Manchester City across a range of markets β€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change β€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 2.34
Draw 3.6
Manchester City 3.3

Half Time Result

Arsenal 2.75
Draw 2.18
Manchester City 3.8

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.3
Arsenal or Manchester City 1.33
Draw or Manchester City 1.65

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.73
No 2.34

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.15
Under 1.5 4.4
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.45

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4
Over 9.5 1.68
Over 10.5 2.4
Over 11.5 2.7

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.06

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • BreiΓ°ablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland BreiΓ°ablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs NΓ΅mme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · NΓ΅mme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SΓΈnderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SΓΈnderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Manchester City?

Under 2.5 Goals β€” Arsenal have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Manchester City?

Arsenal have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Manchester City on the road (60% wins) in Carabao Cup. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Unlikely β€” Arsenal (20% BTTS at home) and Manchester City (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Carabao Cup. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Uncertain β€” Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Manchester City in 40% of away games in Carabao Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Manchester City?

Manchester City have the stronger away scoring record β€” 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Arsenal's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Manchester City?

Possibly β€” Manchester City frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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