AS Marsa vs Etoile du Sahel — Free Prediction & Stats

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

AS Marsa (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Etoile du Sahel on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Etoile du Sahel tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while AS Marsa are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — AS Marsa at 20% at home and Etoile du Sahel at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Etoile du Sahel often produce high corner totals away (70%), while AS Marsa are lower at home (30%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — AS Marsa have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Etoile du Sahel in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with AS Marsa (10th) and Etoile du Sahel (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ES Tunis	24	16	6	2	40:7	+33	54
2	Club Africain	24	15	7	2	34:8	+26	52
3	CS Sfaxien	25	14	7	4	34:12	+22	49
4	Stade Tunisien	25	12	11	2	29:9	+20	47
5	US Monastir	25	9	12	4	23:14	+9	39
6	Etoile du Sahel A	25	9	8	8	24:22	+2	35
7	CA Bizertin	24	8	8	8	16:20	-4	32
8	JS Omrane	25	9	5	11	19:26	-7	32
9	ES Métlaoui	24	6	11	7	14:23	-9	29
10	Ben Guerdane	25	6	10	9	15:20	-5	28
11	ES Zarzis	24	7	7	10	20:24	-4	28
12	AS Marsa H	24	9	1	14	21:25	-4	28
13	Kairouan	25	7	3	15	17:38	-21	24
14	Olympique Béja	25	6	4	15	14:36	-22	22
15	AS Slimane	25	3	8	14	11:27	-16	17
16	AS Gabès	25	3	8	14	10:30	-20	17

Team Form

AS Marsa have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Etoile du Sahel have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	4 (40%)	3 (30%)
Drawn	0 (0%)	3 (30%)
Lost	6 (60%)	4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

AS Marsa (20% BTTS at home) and Etoile du Sahel (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	2 (20%)	4 (40%)

Match Goals

AS Marsa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Etoile du Sahel in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	10 (100%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals	6 (60%)	8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals	4 (40%)	4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals	1 (10%)	2 (20%)

Under Goals

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	0 (0%)	1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals	6 (60%)	6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals	9 (90%)	8 (80%)

Team Goals

AS Marsa have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Etoile du Sahel in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	0 (0%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	7 (70%)	7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	4 (40%)	3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Goal Totals

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	7 (0.7 avg)	12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	14 (1.4 avg)	12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Etoile du Sahel frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while AS Marsa are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	5 (50%)	9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners	5 (50%)	9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners	3 (30%)	7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners	2 (20%)	2 (20%)

Team Corners

AS Marsa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Etoile du Sahel have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

	AS Marsa (Home Form)	Etoile du Sahel (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between AS Marsa and Etoile du Sahel. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12th Jun, 2016

AS Marsa

0 – 3 HT: 0-0

Etoile du Sahel