Aston Villa vs Burnley Football Stats

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, England
๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 5th October, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Aston Villa to Win

Aston Villa sit 16th in the table after 4 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Burnley are 18th after 4 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded on the road. Aston Villa have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Burnley side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Aston Villa have been involved in high-scoring home games this season โ€” Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Burnley are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season โ€” Aston Villa in 60% of home games (6/10), Burnley in 60% away (6/10). Aston Villa have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Burnley in 60% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season โ€” Aston Villa see 8+ in 90% of home games, Burnley in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Aston Villa to Win โ€” Aston Villa have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Burnley have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Todayโ€™s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for todayโ€™s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Aston Villa (16th) and Burnley (18th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa H 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
11 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley A 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Aston Villa hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Burnley have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aston Villa have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Burnley in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net โ€” the stats support a goal at each end.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Aston Villa frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Aston Villa have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Burnley in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Aston Villa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Burnley have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Aston Villa (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Aston Villa and Burnley. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up โ€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Dec, 2023
Aston Villa
3 โ€“ 2 HT: 2-1
Burnley
Corners 6โ€“2 Cards 4โ€“4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Aug, 2023
Burnley
1 โ€“ 3 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
Corners 4โ€“6 Cards 2โ€“0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th May, 2022
Aston Villa
1 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Burnley
Corners 13โ€“6 Cards 0โ€“2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2022
Burnley
1 โ€“ 3 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
Corners 4โ€“5 Cards 1โ€“2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jan, 2021
Burnley
3 โ€“ 2 HT: 0-1
Aston Villa
Corners 2โ€“4 Cards 1โ€“0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Dec, 2020
Aston Villa
0 โ€“ 0 HT: 0-0
Burnley
Corners 10โ€“1 Cards 1โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Jan, 2020
Burnley
1 โ€“ 2 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
Corners 8โ€“4 Cards 1โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Sep, 2019
Aston Villa
2 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-0
Burnley
Corners 7โ€“3 Cards 1โ€“4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th May, 2015
Aston Villa
0 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Burnley
Corners 7โ€“2 Cards 1โ€“2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Nov, 2014
Burnley
1 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Aston Villa
Corners 1โ€“5 Cards 3โ€“4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aston Villa vs Burnley across a range of markets โ€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change โ€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Aston Villa 1.58
Draw 4.18
Burnley 6.16

Half Time Result

Aston Villa 2.17
Draw 2.39
Burnley 6.4

Double Chance

Aston Villa or Draw 1.16
Aston Villa or Burnley 1.27
Draw or Burnley 2.52

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.08
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.99
Over 3.5 3.6
Under 1.5 3.95
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.92

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.51
Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 2.16

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.74
Over 2.5 3.25

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.71
Over 1.5 4.4
Over 2.5 13

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

โšฝ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiรฐablik / Augn U19 vs FH / รH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiรฐablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / รH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nรตmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nรตmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SรธnderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SรธnderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Burnley?

Aston Villa to Win โ€” they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while Burnley have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Aston Villa or Burnley?

Aston Villa hold a clear form advantage โ€” they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Burnley have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Aston Villa and Burnley?

Mixed โ€” Aston Villa have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Burnley in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aston Villa and Burnley?

Possibly โ€” Aston Villa frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aston Villa or Burnley?

Aston Villa have the stronger scoring record โ€” 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Burnley's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aston Villa and Burnley?

Possibly โ€” Aston Villa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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