Aston Villa vs Chelsea Football Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Wednesday 4th March, 19:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Aston Villa sit 4th in the table after 26 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Chelsea are 6th after 26 games, averaging 2 scored and 2 conceded on the road. Aston Villa have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Chelsea side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Goals look likely from both ends. Aston Villa have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home fixtures this season (7/10), and Chelsea in 90% of away games (9/10). Aston Villa average 2.4 scored and 1.5 conceded at home; Chelsea 2 and 2 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Aston Villa in 60% of home games (6/10), Chelsea in 70% away (7/10). Aston Villa have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Chelsea in 80% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Aston Villa see 8+ in 90% of home games, Chelsea in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Aston Villa have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Aston Villa (4th) and Chelsea (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa H 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
11 Chelsea A 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Aston Villa hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Chelsea have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aston Villa have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Chelsea in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Aston Villa's home games and 90% of Chelsea's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Aston Villa have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Chelsea in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 20 (2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Aston Villa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Chelsea are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Chelsea have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Aston Villa (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Aston Villa and Chelsea. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Dec 2025
Chelsea
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Aston Villa
22 Feb 2025
Aston Villa
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Chelsea
01 Dec 2024
Chelsea
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Aston Villa
27 Apr 2024
Aston Villa
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
07 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
Chelsea
26 Jan 2024
Chelsea
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
24 Sep 2023
Chelsea
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
01 Apr 2023
Chelsea
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Aston Villa
11 Dec 2022
Aston Villa
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
16 Oct 2022
Aston Villa
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Chelsea

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aston Villa vs Chelsea across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Aston Villa 2.73
Draw 3.56
Chelsea 2.63

Half Time Result

Aston Villa 3.3
Draw 2.4
Chelsea 3.18

Double Chance

Aston Villa or Draw 1.54
Aston Villa or Chelsea 1.3
Draw or Chelsea 1.51

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 3.5 2.86
Under 1.5 3.98
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.56

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 1.99

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.32

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea?

Over 2.5 Goals — Aston Villa have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Aston Villa or Chelsea?

Aston Villa hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Chelsea have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Aston Villa and Chelsea?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Aston Villa are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aston Villa and Chelsea?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Aston Villa's home games and 90% of Chelsea's away games in Premier League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aston Villa or Chelsea?

Chelsea have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Aston Villa's 40% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aston Villa and Chelsea?

Possibly — Aston Villa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Chelsea are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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