Atlante vs Morelia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 7th March, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Atlante hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Morelia are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Atlante 80% at home, Morelia 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Atlante 50% at home, Morelia 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Atlante usually generate 8+ corners at home (70%), while Morelia are less consistent on the road (30%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Atlante have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Morelia in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atlante (7th) and Morelia (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante H 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia A 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Atlante hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Morelia have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlante have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Atlante 80% at home, Morelia 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Atlante have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Morelia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Atlante regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Morelia are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Atlante win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Morelia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Atlante (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlante and Morelia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

28 Sep 2025
Morelia
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Atlante
27 Apr 2025
Atlante
2 – 3 HT: 2-2
Morelia
24 Apr 2025
Morelia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlante
25 Jan 2025
Morelia
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Atlante
11 Aug 2024
Atlante
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Morelia
24 Mar 2024
Atlante
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Morelia
16 Oct 2023
Morelia
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlante
26 Feb 2023
Morelia
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlante
12 Aug 2022
Atlante
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Morelia
22 May 2022
Morelia
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlante

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlante vs Morelia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlante 1.61
Draw 3.9
Morelia 5.5

Half Time Result

Atlante 2.32
Draw 2.26
Morelia 5.75

Double Chance

Atlante or Draw 1.1
Atlante or Morelia 1.21
Draw or Morelia 2.09

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.08
No 1.76

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 3.5 3.85
Under 1.5 3.22
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.33

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.91

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 1.92
Over 11.5 2.35

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.88

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.68
Over 1.5 3.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined

Atlante vs Morelia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlante vs Morelia?

Under 3.5 Goals — Atlante have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Morelia in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Atlante or Morelia?

Atlante hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Morelia have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlante and Morelia?

Mixed — Atlante have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlante and Morelia?

Uncertain — Atlante have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlante or Morelia?

Atlante have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Morelia's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlante and Morelia?

Possibly — Atlante regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Morelia are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Atlante vs CA La Paz

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 00:00 BST

Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 02:00 BST

Dorados vs Tapatío

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 04:00 BST

Tlaxcala vs Venados

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

Irapuato vs Mineros de Zacatecas

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

Universidad Guadalajara vs Cancún

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 19:00 BST

Jaiba Brava vs Morelia

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 20th April, 00:00 BST

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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