Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid

📍 La Liga, Spain
🕒 Saturday 27th September, 15:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Atlético Madrid sit 5th in the table after 3 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Real Madrid are 2nd after 3 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Atlético Madrid have won 50% of home games, Real Madrid 50% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Atlético Madrid have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Real Madrid are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Atlético Madrid in 80% of home games (8/10), Real Madrid in 60% away (6/10). Atlético Madrid have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Real Madrid in 90% of away games.

Real Madrid are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Atlético Madrid are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Atlético Madrid see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Real Madrid in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atlético Madrid (5th) and Real Madrid (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 35 30 1 4 91:31 +60 91
2 Real Madrid A 35 24 5 6 70:33 +37 77
3 Villarreal 35 21 6 8 65:40 +25 69
4 Atlético Madrid H 35 19 6 10 58:38 +20 63
5 Real Betis 35 13 15 7 54:43 +11 54
6 Celta de Vigo 35 13 11 11 49:44 +5 50
7 Getafe 35 13 6 16 28:36 -8 45
8 Real Sociedad 35 11 11 13 54:55 -1 44
9 Athletic Club 35 13 5 17 40:51 -11 44
10 Osasuna 35 11 9 15 42:45 -3 42
11 Rayo Vallecano 34 10 12 12 35:41 -6 42
12 Valencia 35 11 9 15 38:50 -12 42
13 Sevilla 35 11 7 17 43:56 -13 40
14 Mallorca 35 10 9 16 43:52 -9 39
15 Espanyol 35 10 9 16 38:53 -15 39
16 Elche 35 9 12 14 46:54 -8 39
17 Girona 34 9 11 14 36:51 -15 38
18 Deportivo Alavés 35 9 10 16 41:54 -13 37
19 Levante 35 9 9 17 41:57 -16 36
20 Real Oviedo 35 6 11 18 26:54 -28 29

Team Form

Atlético Madrid (50% home wins) and Real Madrid (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Madrid have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Real Madrid in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Real Madrid are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Atlético Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Real Madrid in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Real Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Atlético Madrid are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Real Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12th Mar, 2025
Atlético Madrid
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Real Madrid
Corners 10–10 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Mar, 2025
Real Madrid
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 6–3 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Feb, 2025
Real Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 6–1 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Sep, 2024
Atlético Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Real Madrid
Corners 5–5 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Feb, 2024
Real Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético Madrid
Corners 2–8 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Jan, 2024
Atlético Madrid
4 – 2 HT: 1-1
Real Madrid
Corners 0–9 Cards 6–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Jan, 2024
Real Madrid
5 – 3 HT: 2-2
Atlético Madrid
Corners 11–4 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Sep, 2023
Atlético Madrid
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Real Madrid
Corners 6–11 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Feb, 2023
Real Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Madrid
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jan, 2023
Real Madrid
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 7–6 Cards 2–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Madrid 3.23
Draw 3.58
Real Madrid 2.27

Half Time Result

Atlético Madrid 3.75
Draw 2.17
Real Madrid 2.86

Double Chance

Atlético Madrid or Draw 1.67
Atlético Madrid or Real Madrid 1.33
Draw or Real Madrid 1.39

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.64
No 2.35

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.8
Over 3.5 3.05
Under 1.5 4.57
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 3.5 1.47

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.63

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 1.91
Over 11.5 2.13

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.6
Over 2.5 6.3

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.07
Over 2.5 4.4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.77
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Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Over 8.5 Corners — Atlético Madrid see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Real Madrid in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Madrid or Real Madrid?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Atlético Madrid have won 50% of home games, Real Madrid 50% away in La Liga. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Real Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Real Madrid are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Madrid or Real Madrid?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Real Madrid's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid?

Possibly — Real Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Atlético Madrid are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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