Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Copa Del Rey, Spain
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge at home this season (7/10, 70%), while Real Sociedad are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Atlético Madrid consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Real Sociedad are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 80% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Atlético Madrid have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Real Sociedad in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Copa Del Rey table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atlético Madrid (th) and Real Sociedad (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Copa Del Rey 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad A 7 6 1 0 14:5 +9 19
2 Valencia 5 4 0 1 12:3 +9 12
3 Deportivo Alavés 5 4 0 1 15:3 +12 12
4 FC Barcelona 5 4 0 1 9:5 +4 12
5 Atlético Madrid H 5 4 0 1 13:5 +8 12
6 Real Betis 5 4 0 1 15:8 +7 12
7 Albacete 5 3 1 1 11:7 +4 10
8 Osasuna 4 3 1 0 16:7 +9 10
9 Racing Santander 4 3 0 1 8:4 +4 9
10 Rayo Vallecano 4 3 0 1 11:5 +6 9
11 Elche 4 3 0 1 8:3 +5 9
12 Athletic Club 5 3 0 2 7:6 +1 9
13 Deportivo La Coruña 4 3 0 1 8:2 +6 9
14 Burgos 4 3 0 1 6:4 +2 9
15 Cultural Leonesa 4 3 0 1 11:7 +4 9
16 Granada 3 2 0 1 7:4 +3 6
17 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
18 Huesca 3 2 0 1 7:4 +3 6
19 Sporting Gijón 3 2 0 1 3:2 +1 6
20 SD Eibar 3 2 0 1 7:3 +4 6
21 Talavera CF 3 2 0 1 8:5 +3 6
22 Getafe 3 2 0 1 15:5 +10 6
23 Levante 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
24 Atlético Baleares 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
25 Eldense 3 2 0 1 6:4 +2 6
26 Mallorca 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
27 Guadalajara 3 2 0 1 3:3 0 6
28 Ourense CF 3 2 0 1 6:4 +2 6
29 Celta de Vigo 3 1 2 0 5:3 +2 5
30 Villarreal 3 1 1 1 8:3 +5 4
31 Real Murcia 3 1 1 1 4:5 -1 4
32 Sant Andreu 2 1 1 0 3:2 +1 4
33 Yuncos 3 1 1 1 3:6 -3 4
34 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 5:3 +2 4
35 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 4:1 +3 3
36 FC Cartagena 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
37 Leganés 2 1 0 1 5:3 +2 3
38 Ponferradina 2 1 0 1 4:3 +1 3
39 Sabadell 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
40 Real Madrid 2 1 0 1 5:5 0 3
41 Málaga 2 1 0 1 4:3 +1 3
42 Cádiz 2 1 0 1 5:4 +1 3
43 FC Andorra 2 1 0 1 7:5 +2 3
44 Real Zaragoza 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
45 Espanyol 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
46 Almería 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
47 Real Ávila 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
48 Portugalete 2 1 0 1 1:3 -2 3
49 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 2:5 -3 3
50 Negreira 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
51 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 2:1 +1 3
52 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
53 Manises 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
54 Girona 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
55 Numancia 2 1 0 1 5:3 +2 3
56 Navalcarnero 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
57 Torrent 2 1 0 1 4:5 -1 3
58 Mirandés 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
59 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Langreo 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
61 Racing Ferrol 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
62 Antequera 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Pontevedra 2 0 1 1 1:4 -3 1
64 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
65 Campanario 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
66 CD Ebro 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
67 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
68 Alberite 2 0 1 1 1:5 -4 1
69 Quintanar del Rey 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
71 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
72 UCAM Murcia 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
73 Caudal 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
74 Gimnàstic Tarragona 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 3:4 -1 0
76 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
77 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
78 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
79 Real Valladolid 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
80 Teruel 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
81 Samano 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
82 Lucena 1 0 0 1 0:6 -6 0
83 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
84 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Roda 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
86 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
88 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Naxara CD 1 0 0 1 2:4 -2 0
90 La Union Atletico 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
91 Real Oviedo 1 0 0 1 2:4 -2 0
92 Constància 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
93 Arenas de Getxo 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
94 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
95 Merida 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
96 Poblense 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
97 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
98 Union Estepona 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
99 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
100 Utebo FC 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0

Team Form

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while Real Sociedad have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Madrid have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Real Sociedad in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Real Sociedad are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Atlético Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games this season, Real Sociedad in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 26 (2.6 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Atlético Madrid (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Real Sociedad have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Real Sociedad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Madrid 1.84
Draw 3.55
Real Sociedad 4.4

Half Time Result

Atlético Madrid 2.6
Draw 2.23
Real Sociedad 4.47

Double Chance

Atlético Madrid or Draw 1.2
Atlético Madrid or Real Sociedad 1.29
Draw or Real Sociedad 1.91

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.77
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 3.5 3.38
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.31

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.33
Over 10.5 1.61
Over 11.5 2.02

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.88

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.64

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Over 2.5 Goals — Atlético Madrid have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Real Sociedad in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Madrid or Real Sociedad?

Atlético Madrid have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Real Sociedad on the road (50% wins) in Copa Del Rey. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad?

Possibly — Real Sociedad regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Atlético Madrid are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Real Sociedad are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Madrid or Real Sociedad?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of home games compared to Real Sociedad's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad?

Yes — both Atlético Madrid (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Copa Del Rey. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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