Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 La Liga, Spain
🕒 Sunday 14th September, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Villarreal are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Atlético Madrid consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Villarreal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Atlético Madrid and Villarreal frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Atlético Madrid usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Villarreal are less consistent on the road (40%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Atlético Madrid have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Villarreal in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atlético Madrid (16th) and Villarreal (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 31 26 1 4 84:30 +54 79
2 Real Madrid 31 22 4 5 65:29 +36 70
3 Villarreal A 31 19 4 8 56:36 +20 61
4 Atlético Madrid H 31 17 6 8 51:32 +19 57
5 Real Betis 31 11 13 7 45:38 +7 46
6 Celta de Vigo 31 11 11 9 44:40 +4 44
7 Real Sociedad 31 11 9 11 49:48 +1 42
8 Getafe 31 12 5 14 27:32 -5 41
9 Osasuna 31 10 9 12 37:38 -1 39
10 Espanyol 31 10 8 13 37:48 -11 38
11 Athletic Club 31 11 5 15 33:45 -12 38
12 Girona 31 9 11 11 33:45 -12 38
13 Rayo Vallecano 31 8 11 12 29:38 -9 35
14 Valencia 31 9 8 14 34:46 -12 35
15 Mallorca 31 9 7 15 39:48 -9 34
16 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 39:51 -12 34
17 Deportivo Alavés 31 8 9 14 35:46 -11 33
18 Elche 31 7 11 13 39:47 -8 32
19 Levante 31 7 8 16 35:50 -15 29
20 Real Oviedo 31 6 9 16 24:48 -24 27

Team Form

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Villarreal have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Madrid have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Villarreal in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Villarreal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Atlético Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Villarreal in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Madrid regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Villarreal are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Villarreal have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Villarreal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Madrid and Villarreal. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25th Jan, 2025
Atlético Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Villarreal
Corners 5–6 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Aug, 2024
Villarreal
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Atlético Madrid
Corners 2–3 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Apr, 2024
Villarreal
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 3–3 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Nov, 2023
Atlético Madrid
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Villarreal
Corners 6–3 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Jun, 2023
Villarreal
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 12–1 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Aug, 2022
Atlético Madrid
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Villarreal
Corners 5–6 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jan, 2022
Villarreal
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 7–3 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Aug, 2021
Atlético Madrid
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Villarreal
Corners 16–0 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Feb, 2021
Villarreal
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 10–2 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Oct, 2020
Atlético Madrid
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Villarreal
Corners 9–1 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Madrid 1.8
Draw 3.82
Villarreal 4.84

Half Time Result

Atlético Madrid 2.38
Draw 2.3
Villarreal 4.81

Double Chance

Atlético Madrid or Draw 1.2
Atlético Madrid or Villarreal 1.3
Draw or Villarreal 2.13

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.75
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.8
Over 3.5 3
Under 1.5 4
Under 2.5 2
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.61
Over 9.5 2
Over 10.5 2.62
Over 11.5 3.75

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.8
Over 2.5 3.5

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 2.9
Over 2.5 10

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Prospect United 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Prospect United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    91% combined
  • Thalgau vs SV Schwarzach 16:30 BST | Landesliga: Salzburg, Austria Thalgau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · SV Schwarzach have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    90% combined
  • Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United 08:00 BST | OFC Professional League, Asia Tahiti United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Vanuatu United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.95
    83% combined
  • Kalsdorf vs Lafnitz 18:00 BST | Regionalliga: Mitte, Austria Kalsdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Lafnitz have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.66
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Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal?

Over 2.5 Goals — Atlético Madrid have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Villarreal in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Madrid or Villarreal?

Atlético Madrid hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in La Liga this season, while Villarreal have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Madrid and Villarreal?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Villarreal are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Madrid and Villarreal?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Villarreal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Madrid or Villarreal?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Villarreal's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Madrid and Villarreal?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Villarreal are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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