Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 28th January, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Atlético Mineiro sit 12th in the table, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Palmeiras are 11th, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. Atlético Mineiro have won 7/10 home games (70%) this season; Palmeiras have won 6/10 on the road (60%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Palmeiras in 30% away (3/10). Atlético Mineiro average 1.5 scored and 1 conceded at home, Palmeiras 1.6 and 0.5 on the road.

Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Palmeiras are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 90% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Palmeiras are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Atlético Mineiro are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Atlético Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Palmeiras in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Atlético Mineiro (12th) and Palmeiras (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras A 17 11 5 1 29:13 +16 38
2 Flamengo 16 9 4 3 28:16 +12 31
3 Fluminense 17 9 3 5 27:22 +5 30
4 Athletico PR 17 8 3 6 23:18 +5 27
5 Bragantino 17 8 2 7 22:18 +4 26
6 Coritiba 17 7 5 5 24:21 +3 26
7 São Paulo 17 7 4 6 23:19 +4 25
8 Cruzeiro 17 6 5 6 23:27 -4 23
9 Bahia 16 6 5 5 23:22 +1 23
10 Vitória 16 6 4 6 20:22 -2 22
11 Botafogo 16 6 4 6 30:29 +1 22
12 Corinthians 17 5 6 6 15:18 -3 21
13 Atlético Mineiro H 17 6 3 8 21:23 -2 21
14 Grêmio 17 5 6 6 19:20 -1 21
15 Internacional 17 5 6 6 20:19 +1 21
16 Vasco da Gama 17 5 5 7 22:28 -6 20
17 Santos 17 4 6 7 23:28 -5 18
18 Mirassol 16 4 4 8 18:23 -5 16
19 Remo 17 3 6 8 20:29 -9 15
20 Chapecoense 16 1 6 9 17:32 -15 9

Team Form

Atlético Mineiro have lost 10% of their home matches this season, while Palmeiras have been more resilient on the road (0% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Palmeiras are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Palmeiras in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Atlético Mineiro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Palmeiras in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Palmeiras have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Mineiro and Palmeiras. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Dec 2025
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jul 2025
Palmeiras
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2024
Palmeiras
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Jun 2024
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2023
Palmeiras
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Aug 2023
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Aug 2023
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 May 2023
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Sep 2022
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Aug 2022
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 3.13
Draw 3.1
Palmeiras 2.5

Half Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 4.01
Draw 1.93
Palmeiras 3.1

Double Chance

Atlético Mineiro or Draw 1.55
Atlético Mineiro or Palmeiras 1.39
Draw or Palmeiras 1.36

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.88
No 1.82

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 4.19
Under 1.5 2.96
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.55
Over 10.5 1.98
Over 11.5 2.26

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 2.9

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.71

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras?

Under 3.5 Goals — Atlético Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Palmeiras in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Mineiro or Palmeiras?

Atlético Mineiro have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Palmeiras on the road (60% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Palmeiras?

Mixed — Atlético Mineiro have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Palmeiras in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Palmeiras?

Uncertain — Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Palmeiras in 30% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Mineiro or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Atlético Mineiro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Palmeiras?

Yes — both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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