Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 8th October, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Atlético Mineiro sit 15th in the table after 12 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Sport Recife are 20th after 11 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. Atlético Mineiro have won 7/10 home games (70%) this season; Sport Recife have won 6/10 on the road (60%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Sport Recife in 40% away (4/10). Atlético Mineiro average 1.5 scored and 1 conceded at home, Sport Recife 1.2 and 0.5 on the road.

Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Sport Recife are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Atlético Mineiro see 8+ in 70% of home games, Sport Recife in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Atlético Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Sport Recife in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Atlético Mineiro (15th) and Sport Recife (20th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro H 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife A 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Atlético Mineiro have won 70% of home games this season, Sport Recife 60% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Sport Recife are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Sport Recife in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Atlético Mineiro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Sport Recife in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Mineiro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Sport Recife are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Sport Recife have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Sport Recife (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Mineiro and Sport Recife. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22nd May, 2024
Sport Recife
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 2–2 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st May, 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Sport Recife
Corners 4–4 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Sep, 2021
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Sport Recife
Corners 6–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Jun, 2021
Sport Recife
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 4–7 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Feb, 2021
Sport Recife
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 2–4 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Oct, 2020
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sport Recife
Corners 13–4 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Sep, 2018
Atlético Mineiro
5 – 2 HT: 4-1
Sport Recife
Corners 6–6 Cards 1–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th May, 2018
Sport Recife
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 1–3 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Oct, 2017
Sport Recife
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 6–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jun, 2017
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Sport Recife
Corners 3–2 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 1.76
Draw 3.55
Sport Recife 5.34

Half Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 2.39
Draw 2.27
Sport Recife 5.58

Double Chance

Atlético Mineiro or Draw 1.18
Atlético Mineiro or Sport Recife 1.34
Draw or Sport Recife 2.14

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.92
No 1.93

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 3.5 3.83
Under 1.5 3.42
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.14

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.39
Over 10.5 1.82
Over 11.5 2

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.95

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5 1.64
Over 1.5 4.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife?

Under 3.5 Goals — Atlético Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Sport Recife in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Mineiro or Sport Recife?

Atlético Mineiro have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Sport Recife on the road (60% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Sport Recife?

Mixed — Atlético Mineiro have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Sport Recife in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Sport Recife?

Uncertain — Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Sport Recife in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Mineiro or Sport Recife?

Sport Recife have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Atlético Mineiro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Sport Recife?

Possibly — Atlético Mineiro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Sport Recife are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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