Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 18th March, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Atlético Mineiro to Win

Atlético Mineiro sit 16th in the table after 4 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. São Paulo are 1st after 4 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The home record backs Atlético Mineiro strongly — they've won 8/10 home games (80%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); São Paulo in 40% away (4/10). Atlético Mineiro average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, São Paulo 0.7 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Atlético Mineiro at 50% in home games (5/10), São Paulo at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

São Paulo are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Atlético Mineiro are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Atlético Mineiro to Win — Atlético Mineiro have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Atlético Mineiro (16th) and São Paulo (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 17 11 5 1 29:13 +16 38
2 Flamengo 16 9 4 3 28:16 +12 31
3 Fluminense 17 9 3 5 27:22 +5 30
4 Athletico PR 17 8 3 6 23:18 +5 27
5 Bragantino 17 8 2 7 22:18 +4 26
6 Coritiba 17 7 5 5 24:21 +3 26
7 São Paulo A 17 7 4 6 23:19 +4 25
8 Cruzeiro 17 6 5 6 23:27 -4 23
9 Bahia 16 6 5 5 23:22 +1 23
10 Vitória 16 6 4 6 20:22 -2 22
11 Botafogo 16 6 4 6 30:29 +1 22
12 Corinthians 17 5 6 6 15:18 -3 21
13 Atlético Mineiro H 17 6 3 8 21:23 -2 21
14 Grêmio 17 5 6 6 19:20 -1 21
15 Internacional 17 5 6 6 20:19 +1 21
16 Vasco da Gama 17 5 5 7 22:28 -6 20
17 Santos 17 4 6 7 23:28 -5 18
18 Mirassol 16 4 4 8 18:23 -5 16
19 Remo 17 3 6 8 20:29 -9 15
20 Chapecoense 16 1 6 9 17:32 -15 9

Team Form

Atlético Mineiro have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to São Paulo's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Mineiro have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Atlético Mineiro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Aug 2025
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Nov 2024
São Paulo
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Sep 2024
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Aug 2024
São Paulo
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Jul 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Dec 2023
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Aug 2023
São Paulo
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Nov 2022
São Paulo
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jul 2022
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 2.38
Draw 3.2
São Paulo 3.4

Half Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 3.23
Draw 1.87
São Paulo 3.92

Double Chance

Atlético Mineiro or Draw 1.38
Atlético Mineiro or São Paulo 1.4
Draw or São Paulo 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.98

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.46
Over 2.5 2.4
Over 3.5 4.7
Under 1.5 3.12
Under 2.5 1.71
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4
Over 9.5 1.66
Over 10.5 2.1
Over 11.5 2.11

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.63

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nõmme United vs Flora 17:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Nõmme United have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Mt Druitt Town 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    82% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Manningham United Blues 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    79% combined
  • Nepean vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Nepean have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.35
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Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo?

Atlético Mineiro to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while São Paulo have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Mineiro or São Paulo?

Atlético Mineiro hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Serie A this season, while São Paulo have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo?

Mixed — Atlético Mineiro have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo?

Uncertain — Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Mineiro or São Paulo?

Atlético Mineiro have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo?

Yes — both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 20:00 BST

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Athletico PR vs Mirassol

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🕒 Saturday 30th May, 20:00 BST

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Grêmio vs Corinthians

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 21:30 BST

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Bahia vs Botafogo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 21:30 BST

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Remo vs São Paulo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 23:30 BST

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Santos vs Vitória

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

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Bragantino vs Internacional

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 15:00 BST

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Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

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