Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Peñarol have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Atlético Progreso are less dominant at home (3/10, 30%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Atlético Progreso frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Peñarol are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Atlético Progreso at 40% at home and Peñarol at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Peñarol regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Atlético Progreso see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Atlético Progreso (14th) and Peñarol (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 9 6 2 1 16:8 +8 20
2 Peñarol A 9 6 1 2 15:8 +7 19
3 Deportivo Maldonado 9 5 1 3 13:10 +3 16
4 Nacional 9 5 1 3 14:10 +4 16
5 Central Español 9 4 2 3 13:11 +2 14
6 Wanderers 9 4 2 3 10:11 -1 14
7 Montevideo City Torque 9 4 2 3 13:10 +3 14
8 Liverpool 9 3 4 2 13:11 +2 13
9 Defensor Sporting 9 3 4 2 7:6 +1 13
10 Danubio 9 3 3 3 11:12 -1 12
11 Cerro Largo 9 4 0 5 10:11 -1 12
12 Albion 9 3 3 3 11:10 +1 12
13 Boston River 9 2 2 5 5:10 -5 8
14 Atlético Progreso H 9 1 4 4 9:15 -6 7
15 Cerro 9 1 2 6 4:14 -10 5
16 Juventud 9 1 1 7 8:15 -7 4

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Atlético Progreso have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Progreso (40% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Atlético Progreso have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Peñarol in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 20 (2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Peñarol in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Aug 2025
Peñarol
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2025
Atlético Progreso
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2024
Progreso
1 – 5 HT: 0-2
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jun 2024
Progreso
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 May 2024
Peñarol
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Nov 2021
Progreso
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Aug 2021
Peñarol
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Mar 2021
Progreso
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Oct 2020
Peñarol
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2019
Progreso
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Progreso 7.42
Draw 4.1
Peñarol 1.48

Half Time Result

Atlético Progreso 7.77
Draw 2.2
Peñarol 2.04

Double Chance

Atlético Progreso or Draw 2.5
Atlético Progreso or Peñarol 1.21
Draw or Peñarol 1.1

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.38
No 1.64

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.16
Over 3.5 3.94
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.7
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.02

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 2.25
Over 11.5 2.38

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 2
Over 1.5 5.4

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.72

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • NSA Sofia W vs Paldin W 14:00 BST | Women's League, Bulgaria NSA Sofia W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Paldin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.18
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Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol?

Over 1.5 Goals — Atlético Progreso see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Progreso or Peñarol?

Peñarol arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Primera Division this season compared to Atlético Progreso's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Atlético Progreso (40% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol?

Uncertain — Atlético Progreso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Progreso or Peñarol?

Atlético Progreso have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Peñarol's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol?

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Peñarol in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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