Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Peñarol to Win

Atlético Progreso sit 14th in the table after 6 games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per home match this season. Peñarol are 2nd after 7 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded on the road. Peñarol carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Atlético Progreso have won 1/10 at home (10%).

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Peñarol in 10% away (1/10). Atlético Progreso average 0.8 scored and 2.1 conceded at home, Peñarol 1.3 and 0.7 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Atlético Progreso have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Peñarol in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Atlético Progreso see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Peñarol in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Peñarol to Win — the visitors have won 6/10 away games this season (60%), while Atlético Progreso have lost 7/10 at home (70%). The data points clearly to an away win.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Atlético Progreso (14th) and Peñarol (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado 17 10 3 4 28:18 +10 33
3 Peñarol A 17 10 3 4 27:17 +10 33
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 17 8 3 6 25:24 +1 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Wanderers 17 6 4 7 17:22 -5 22
9 Defensor Sporting 17 5 6 6 14:15 -1 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro 17 3 4 10 10:28 -18 13
16 Atlético Progreso H 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Atlético Progreso have been less dominant at home (10%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 7 (70%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Progreso (40% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Atlético Progreso have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 21 (2.1 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Aug 2025
Peñarol
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2025
Atlético Progreso
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2024
Progreso
1 – 5 HT: 0-2
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jun 2024
Progreso
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 May 2024
Peñarol
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Nov 2021
Progreso
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Aug 2021
Peñarol
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Mar 2021
Progreso
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Oct 2020
Peñarol
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2019
Progreso
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Progreso 6.75
Draw 4.8
Peñarol 1.41

Half Time Result

Atlético Progreso 7
Draw 2.28
Peñarol 1.98

Double Chance

Atlético Progreso or Draw 2.62
Atlético Progreso or Peñarol 1.21
Draw or Peñarol 1.07

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.17
No 1.56

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 4.03
Under 1.5 2.95
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 3.5 1.31

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.88

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 2.23
Over 11.5 2.36

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.86
Over 1.5 6.5

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.67

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Progreso vs Peñarol?

Peñarol to Win — the visitors have won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away games, while Atlético Progreso have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home matches. The data points clearly to an away win.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Progreso or Peñarol?

Peñarol arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Primera Division this season compared to Atlético Progreso's 10% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Atlético Progreso (40% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol?

Uncertain — Atlético Progreso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 10% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Progreso or Peñarol?

Peñarol have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Atlético Progreso's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Progreso and Peñarol?

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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