Liga Nacional · Guatemala 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 17:00 GMT

Aurora vs Malacateco Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Aurora Home · 11th 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Malacateco Away · 4th 0W 1D 9L last 10 away
Win Probability
Aurora 64% Draw 22% Malacateco 14%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Aurora vs Malacateco Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Aurora have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Malacateco in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
64% Aurora win 22% Draw 14% Malacateco win 44% BTTS 46% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
75% Under 3.5 Goals 70% Over 1.5 Goals

Aurora sit 11th in the table after 26 games, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Malacateco are 4th after 24 games, averaging 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Aurora have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Malacateco have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Aurora have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Malacateco in 20% away. Aurora average 0.7 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Malacateco 0.4 and 1.4 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Aurora have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); Malacateco in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Aurora regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Malacateco are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Aurora (11th) and Malacateco (4th) sit in the Liga Nacional table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Aurora H 48 16 14 18 49:65 -16 62
8 Malacateco A 46 17 5 24 47:58 -11 56
View the full Liga Nacional 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Municipal 55 34 12 9 94:40 +54 114
2 Antigua GFC 52 27 10 15 85:60 +25 91
3 Mixco 50 25 9 16 67:58 +9 84
4 Xelajú 51 22 12 17 76:56 +20 78
5 Aurora H 48 16 14 18 49:65 -16 62
6 Comunicaciones 48 17 8 23 49:59 -10 59
7 Cobán Imperial 46 15 13 18 52:50 +2 58
8 Malacateco A 46 17 5 24 47:58 -11 56
9 Marquense 46 15 9 22 43:67 -24 54
10 Guastatoya 46 14 11 21 52:61 -9 53
11 Mictlán 46 13 12 21 46:62 -16 51
12 Achuapa 48 12 13 23 43:67 -24 49

Team Form

Malacateco have lost 90% of their away matches this season, while Aurora have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Aurora — last 10 home A Malacateco — last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aurora (20% BTTS at home) and Malacateco (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Aurora — last 10 home A Malacateco — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 44% · BTTS No 56%

Match Goals

Aurora (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Malacateco (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Aurora — last 10 home A Malacateco — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Aurora have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Malacateco in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Aurora 0.7 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Malacateco 0.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Aurora — last 10 home A Malacateco — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Aurora 7 scored / 6 conceded at home · Malacateco 4 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Aurora regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Malacateco are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Aurora — last 10 home A Malacateco — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Aurora have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Malacateco have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Aurora — last 10 home A Malacateco — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Aurora and Malacateco. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10 Dec 2025
Aurora
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Malacateco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Dec 2025
Malacateco
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aurora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Nov 2025
Malacateco
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aurora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Sep 2025
Aurora
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Malacateco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 3 more meetings
31 Mar 2010
Malacateco
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aurora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Feb 2010
Aurora
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Malacateco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Sep 2009
Aurora
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Malacateco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aurora vs Malacateco across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Aurora 1.75 Model: 64%
Draw 3.5 Model: 22%
Malacateco 3.8 Model: 14%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.77 Model: 44%
Value No 1.9 Model: 56%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28 Model: 70%
Over 2.5 2 Model: 46%
Over 3.5 3 Model: 25%
Under 1.5 3.05 Model: 30%
Under 2.5 1.8 Model: 54%
Under 3.5 1.3 Model: 75%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.46 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 2.91

Total Corners

Over 9.5 2.1 Model: 42%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Aurora 2.69 Model: 46%
Draw 2.2 Model: 40%
Malacateco 3.9 Model: 14%

Double Chance

Value Aurora or Draw 1.22 Model: 86%
Value Aurora or Malacateco 1.42 Model: 78%
Draw or Malacateco 1.76 Model: 36%

Aurora Goals

Over 0.5 1.2 Model: 83%
Value Over 1.5 2.07 Model: 53%

Malacateco Goals

Over 0.5 1.47 Model: 47%
Over 1.5 3.1 Model: 15%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Aurora vs Malacateco Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Malacateco?

Under 2.5 Goals — Aurora have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Malacateco in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Aurora or Malacateco?

Aurora have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Malacateco on the road (0% wins) in Liga Nacional. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Aurora and Malacateco?

Unlikely — Aurora (20% BTTS at home) and Malacateco (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Nacional. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aurora and Malacateco?

Unlikely — Aurora (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Malacateco (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga Nacional. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aurora or Malacateco?

Malacateco have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Aurora's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aurora and Malacateco?

Possibly — Aurora regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Malacateco are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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