Bahia vs Grêmio

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 17th May, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

See Stats Below

Bahia average 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Grêmio average 0.7 scored and 0.9 conceded in away fixtures. Bahia have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Grêmio have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Bahia have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home.

Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Bahia see 8+ in 80% of home games, Grêmio in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Bahia (th) and Grêmio (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 15 10 4 1 25:12 +13 34
2 Flamengo 14 9 3 2 27:12 +15 30
3 Fluminense 15 8 3 4 25:20 +5 27
4 São Paulo 15 7 3 5 21:16 +5 24
5 Athletico PR 15 7 2 6 20:16 +4 23
6 Bahia H 14 6 4 4 20:18 +2 22
7 Vasco da Gama 15 5 5 5 21:21 0 20
8 Bragantino 15 6 2 7 17:18 -1 20
9 Coritiba 15 5 5 5 18:19 -1 20
10 Cruzeiro 15 5 4 6 20:25 -5 19
11 Vitória 14 5 4 5 18:20 -2 19
12 Botafogo 14 5 3 6 26:27 -1 18
13 Corinthians 15 4 6 5 13:15 -2 18
14 Atlético Mineiro 15 5 3 7 18:21 -3 18
15 Internacional 15 4 6 5 16:16 0 18
16 Santos 15 4 6 5 21:22 -1 18
17 Grêmio A 15 4 5 6 15:17 -2 17
18 Mirassol 14 3 4 7 16:20 -4 13
19 Remo 15 2 6 7 16:25 -9 12
20 Chapecoense 14 1 6 7 14:27 -13 9

Team Form

Grêmio have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Bahia have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Grêmio are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Bahia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Grêmio in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Bahia (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Grêmio (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Bahia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Grêmio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Bahia and Grêmio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
Bahia
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Grêmio
25 May 2025
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
17 Aug 2024
Grêmio
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Bahia
28 Apr 2024
Bahia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
04 Nov 2023
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
12 Jul 2023
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bahia
05 Jul 2023
Bahia
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
01 Jul 2023
Bahia
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
16 Oct 2022
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bahia
03 Jul 2022
Bahia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Bahia vs Grêmio across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Bahia 1.8
Draw 3.5
Grêmio 4.33

Half Time Result

Bahia 2.33
Draw 2.13
Grêmio 4.9

Double Chance

Bahia or Draw 1.19
Bahia or Grêmio 1.27
Draw or Grêmio 2.01

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 3.5 3.14
Under 1.5 3.64
Under 2.5 1.93
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.69

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.41
Over 10.5 1.68
Over 11.5 2.08

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.87

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.48

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Luzern vs Zürich 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Luzern have seen over 2.5 goals in 17/18 home matches this season · Zürich have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined
  • Inchicore Athletic vs Killester Donnycarney 20:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Inchicore Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    82% combined
  • Grasshopper vs Winterthur 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Grasshopper have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Winterthur have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    75% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin 16:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 home matches this season · Carina Gubin have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Grêmio?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Bahia or Grêmio?

Bahia have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Grêmio on the road (10% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Bahia and Grêmio?

Possibly — Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Bahia and Grêmio?

Possibly — Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Bahia or Grêmio?

Bahia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Grêmio's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Bahia and Grêmio?

Bahia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Grêmio in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 22:30 BST

Internacional vs Vasco da Gama

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 22:30 BST

Fluminense vs São Paulo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 00:30 BST

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Santos vs Coritiba

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 15:00 BST

Bahia vs Grêmio

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 20:00 BST

Botafogo vs Corinthians

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 20:00 BST

Bragantino vs Vitória

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 22:30 BST

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