Bahia vs Palmeiras Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 28th September, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Bahia sit 6th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Palmeiras are 3rd after 20 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. Palmeiras carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Bahia have won 4/10 at home (40%).

Bahia have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Palmeiras are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded away from home.

Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Palmeiras are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 90% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season — Bahia have seen 10+ corners in 70% of home fixtures (7/10), Palmeiras in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Bahia see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Palmeiras in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Bahia (6th) and Palmeiras (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras A 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia H 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Palmeiras have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Bahia have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Palmeiras are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Palmeiras are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Bahia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Palmeiras in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Bahia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Bahia win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Palmeiras have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Bahia and Palmeiras. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Apr, 2025
Palmeiras
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Bahia
20th Nov, 2024
Bahia
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Palmeiras
7th Jul, 2024
Palmeiras
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Bahia
28th Oct, 2023
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Bahia
22nd Jun, 2023
Bahia
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
13th Oct, 2021
Bahia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
27th Jun, 2021
Palmeiras
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Bahia
12th Dec, 2020
Palmeiras
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Bahia
29th Aug, 2020
Bahia
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
17th Nov, 2019
Bahia
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Bahia vs Palmeiras across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Bahia 4.33
Draw 3.3
Palmeiras 1.95

Half Time Result

Bahia 4.91
Draw 2.18
Palmeiras 2.66

Double Chance

Bahia or Draw 1.92
Bahia or Palmeiras 1.34
Draw or Palmeiras 1.24

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.18
Under 1.5 3.2
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.34

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 2.12
Over 11.5 2.34

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.76
Over 2.5 10.7

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.2
Over 2.5 4.65

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Palmeiras?

Over 8.5 Corners — Bahia see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Palmeiras in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Bahia or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Serie A this season compared to Bahia's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Bahia and Palmeiras?

Possibly — Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Palmeiras are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Bahia and Palmeiras?

Possibly — Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Palmeiras are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Bahia or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Bahia's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Bahia and Palmeiras?

Yes — both Bahia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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