Bahia vs Vasco da Gama — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 23rd November, 19:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Bahia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Vasco da Gama have struggled on the road, winning only 1/10 away games (10%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Bahia consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Vasco da Gama are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Bahia often see both teams score at home (80%), while Vasco da Gama are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Bahia regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Vasco da Gama are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Bahia (7th) and Vasco da Gama (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 38 23 10 5 78:27 +51 79
2 Palmeiras 38 23 7 8 66:33 +33 76
3 Cruzeiro 38 19 13 6 55:31 +24 70
4 Mirassol 38 18 13 7 63:39 +24 67
5 Fluminense 38 19 7 12 50:39 +11 64
6 Botafogo 38 17 12 9 58:38 +20 63
7 Bahia H 38 17 9 12 50:46 +4 60
8 São Paulo 38 14 9 15 43:47 -4 51
9 Grêmio 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
10 Atlético Mineiro 38 12 12 14 43:44 -1 48
11 Bragantino 38 14 6 18 45:57 -12 48
12 Corinthians 38 12 11 15 42:47 -5 47
13 Santos 38 12 11 15 45:50 -5 47
14 Vitória 38 11 12 15 35:52 -17 45
15 Vasco da Gama A 38 13 6 19 55:60 -5 45
16 Internacional 38 11 11 16 44:57 -13 44
17 Fortaleza 38 11 10 17 43:58 -15 43
18 Ceará 38 11 10 17 34:40 -6 43
19 Juventude 38 9 8 21 35:69 -34 35
20 Sport Recife 38 2 11 25 28:75 -47 17

Team Form

Bahia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Vasco da Gama's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Vasco da Gama are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Vasco da Gama are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Bahia have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Vasco da Gama in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 25 (2.5 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Bahia regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Vasco da Gama are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Bahia win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Vasco da Gama have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Bahia and Vasco da Gama. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24th Sep, 2025
Vasco da Gama
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Bahia
Corners 6–2 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Oct, 2024
Vasco da Gama
3 – 2 HT: 3-1
Bahia
Corners 2–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jun, 2024
Bahia
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Vasco da Gama
Corners 7–0 Cards 0–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Sep, 2023
Bahia
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 6–0 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st May, 2023
Vasco da Gama
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bahia
Corners 7–6 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Aug, 2022
Bahia
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Vasco da Gama
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th May, 2022
Vasco da Gama
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Bahia
Corners 7–7 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Jan, 2021
Vasco da Gama
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
Corners 6–6 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Oct, 2020
Bahia
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 4–6 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Dec, 2019
Bahia
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 2–6 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Bahia 1.62
Draw 3.9
Vasco da Gama 5.38

Half Time Result

Bahia 2.14
Draw 2.38
Vasco da Gama 5.1

Double Chance

Bahia or Draw 1.14
Bahia or Vasco da Gama 1.22
Draw or Vasco da Gama 2.18

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.81
No 1.87

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.5 1.8
Over 3.5 3.01
Under 1.5 4.07
Under 2.5 2.09
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.44
Over 10.5 1.72
Over 11.5 2.14

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.75

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Bulle vs Lugano II 17:00 BST | 1.Liga Promotion, Switzerland Bulle have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lugano II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    91% combined
  • Espanyol U19 vs Damm U19 15:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 3, Spain Espanyol U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Damm U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    83% combined
  • Roda U19 vs Talavera U19 16:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 7, Spain Roda U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Talavera U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • FC Košice U19 vs Spartak Trnava U19 10:00 BST | Youth League, Slovakia FC Košice U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Spartak Trnava U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.9
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Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Bahia or Vasco da Gama?

Bahia hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Vasco da Gama have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Bahia and Vasco da Gama?

Possibly — Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Vasco da Gama are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Bahia and Vasco da Gama?

Possibly — Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Vasco da Gama are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Bahia or Vasco da Gama?

Bahia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Vasco da Gama's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Bahia and Vasco da Gama?

Possibly — Bahia regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Vasco da Gama are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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James T. (London, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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