Basel vs Lugano — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Super League, Switzerland
🕒 Sunday 15th February, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Basel have won 30% of home games, Lugano 30% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Basel at 40% at home and Lugano at 10% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both Basel and Lugano frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Basel have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Lugano in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Super League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Basel (4th) and Lugano (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Super League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Thun 32 23 2 7 72:36 +36 71
2 St. Gallen 33 17 9 7 64:40 +24 60
3 Lugano A 33 16 9 8 50:38 +12 57
4 Basel H 32 15 8 9 50:42 +8 53
5 Sion 33 13 13 7 51:35 +16 52
6 Young Boys 33 13 9 11 65:60 +5 48
7 Luzern 33 10 10 13 64:61 +3 40
8 Servette 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
9 Lausanne Sport 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
10 Zürich 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
11 Grasshopper 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
12 Winterthur 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19

Team Form

Basel (30% home wins) and Lugano (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Lost 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Basel have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Lugano in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Basel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lugano in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Basel have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Lugano in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Basel regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Lugano are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Basel have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Lugano have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Basel (Home Form) Lugano (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Basel and Lugano. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

09 Nov 2025
Basel
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lugano
10 Aug 2025
Lugano
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Basel
10 May 2025
Lugano
2 – 5 HT: 1-1
Basel
06 Apr 2025
Basel
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lugano
19 Jan 2025
Lugano
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Basel
27 Jul 2024
Basel
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Lugano
02 Apr 2024
Lugano
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Basel
28 Feb 2024
Basel
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Lugano
03 Feb 2024
Basel
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lugano
06 Dec 2023
Lugano
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Basel

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Basel vs Lugano across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Basel 2.54
Draw 3.75
Lugano 2.86

Half Time Result

Basel 3.09
Draw 2.43
Lugano 3.29

Double Chance

Basel or Draw 1.48
Basel or Lugano 1.32
Draw or Lugano 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.62
No 2.5

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 3.5 2.62
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 3.5 1.53

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.52

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.51
Over 10.5 1.92
Over 11.5 2.15

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 2.13

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.31

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Prospect United 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Prospect United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    91% combined
  • Thalgau vs SV Schwarzach 16:30 BST | Landesliga: Salzburg, Austria Thalgau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · SV Schwarzach have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    90% combined
  • Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United 08:00 BST | OFC Professional League, Asia Tahiti United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Vanuatu United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.95
    83% combined
  • Kalsdorf vs Lafnitz 18:00 BST | Regionalliga: Mitte, Austria Kalsdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Lafnitz have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined

Basel vs Lugano Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Basel vs Lugano?

Under 2.5 Goals — Basel have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Lugano in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Basel or Lugano?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Basel have won 30% of home games, Lugano 30% away in Super League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Basel and Lugano?

Possibly — Basel frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Lugano are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Basel and Lugano?

Uncertain — Basel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lugano in 10% of away games in Super League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Basel or Lugano?

Basel have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Lugano's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Basel and Lugano?

Possibly — Basel regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Lugano are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Grasshopper vs Luzern

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 17:00 BST

Lausanne Sport vs Zürich

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 17:00 BST

Lausanne Sport vs Zürich

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 17:00 BST

Grasshopper vs Luzern

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 17:00 BST

Grasshopper vs Luzern

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 17:00 BST

Lausanne Sport vs Zürich

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 17:00 BST

Thun vs Lugano

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 19:30 BST

Thun vs Lugano

📍 Super League, Switzerland

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 19:30 BST

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)