Ligue 2 · France 🕒 Friday 30th January, 19:00 GMT

Bastia vs Nancy Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Bastia Home · 18th 2W 3D 5L last 10 home
VS
Nancy Away · 14th 2W 7D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Bastia 40% Draw 28% Nancy 32%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Bastia vs Nancy Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Bastia have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Nancy in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
40% Bastia win 28% Draw 32% Nancy win 48% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Under 3.5 Goals 68% Over 1.5 Goals

Bastia sit 18th in the table after 17 games, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Nancy are 14th after 18 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Bastia have won 20% of home games, Nancy 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Bastia have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Nancy in 40% away. Bastia average 0.4 scored and 1 conceded at home, Nancy 1.1 and 0.9 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Nancy regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Bastia are lower at home (10%, 1/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Bastia see 8+ in 60% of home games, Nancy in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Bastia (18th) and Nancy (14th) sit in the Ligue 2 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
14 Nancy A 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
17 Bastia H 32 5 13 14 23:37 -14 28
View the full Ligue 2 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 +27 67
2 Saint-Étienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 +21 60
3 Le Mans 33 15 14 4 48:31 +17 59
4 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 +6 58
5 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 +18 56
6 Red Star 33 15 10 8 45:37 +8 55
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 +10 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 +10 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 +8 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
12 Grenoble Foot 38 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
14 Nancy A 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
17 Bastia H 32 5 13 14 23:37 -14 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24

Team Form

Bastia (20% home wins) and Nancy (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Bastia — last 10 home A Nancy — last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nancy regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Bastia are lower at home (10%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Bastia — last 10 home A Nancy — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

Bastia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Nancy in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Bastia — last 10 home A Nancy — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Bastia have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Nancy in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Bastia 0.4 scored · 1 conceded per home game Nancy 1.1 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H Bastia — last 10 home A Nancy — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Bastia 4 scored / 10 conceded at home · Nancy 11 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

Nancy frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Bastia are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Bastia — last 10 home A Nancy — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Bastia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Nancy have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Bastia — last 10 home A Nancy — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Bastia and Nancy. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

28 Oct 2025
Nancy
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Bastia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Nov 2024
Bastia
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nancy
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jan 2022
Nancy
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Bastia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Aug 2021
Bastia
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nancy
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 4 more meetings
14 Jan 2017
Nancy
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bastia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2016
Bastia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nancy
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 May 2013
Nancy
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Bastia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Dec 2012
Bastia
4 – 2 HT: 3-0
Nancy
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Bastia vs Nancy across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Bastia 2.05 Model: 40%
Draw 2.9 Model: 28%
Value Nancy 3.4 Model: 32%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.14 Model: 48%
No 1.87 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.53 Model: 68%
Value Over 2.5 2.62 Model: 43%
Over 3.5 4.92 Model: 22%
Under 1.5 2.82 Model: 32%
Under 2.5 1.58 Model: 57%
Under 3.5 1.13 Model: 78%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.56 Model: 76%
Over 1.5 3.42

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.41 Model: 48%
Over 9.5 1.84 Model: 37%
Over 10.5 2.53 Model: 27%
Over 11.5 4.5 Model: 19%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Bastia 2.88 Model: 31%
Draw 2 Model: 46%
Nancy 4.5 Model: 23%

Double Chance

Bastia or Draw 1.29 Model: 68%
Bastia or Nancy 1.38 Model: 72%
Draw or Nancy 1.68 Model: 60%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 70%
Over 1.5 2.59 Model: 35%

Nancy Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.61 Model: 64%
Over 1.5 3.6 Model: 29%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Bastia vs Nancy Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Bastia vs Nancy?

Under 2.5 Goals — Bastia have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Nancy in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Bastia or Nancy?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Bastia have won 20% of home games, Nancy 20% away in Ligue 2. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Bastia and Nancy?

Possibly — Nancy regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Bastia are lower at home (10%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Bastia and Nancy?

Uncertain — Bastia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Nancy in 40% of away games in Ligue 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Bastia or Nancy?

Nancy have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Bastia's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Bastia and Nancy?

Possibly — Nancy frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Bastia are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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