Benfica vs Nacional — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 12th April, 18:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Benfica to Win

Benfica have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Nacional have struggled on the road, winning only 0/10 away games (0%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Benfica consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Benfica are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Benfica to Win — Benfica have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Nacional have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Benfica (th) and Nacional (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 27 23 3 1 54:11 +43 72
2 Sporting CP 27 21 5 1 72:17 +55 68
3 Benfica H 27 19 8 0 58:17 +41 65
4 Sporting Braga 26 13 7 6 53:27 +26 46
5 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42:28 +14 45
6 Famalicão 27 13 6 8 33:22 +11 45
7 Estoril 27 10 7 10 48:44 +4 37
8 Moreirense 27 10 5 12 31:39 -8 35
9 Vitória Guimarães 28 10 5 13 34:42 -8 35
10 Rio Ave 27 7 9 11 28:46 -18 30
11 Arouca 27 8 5 14 34:55 -21 29
12 Alverca 27 7 8 12 27:45 -18 29
13 Santa Clara 28 7 7 14 26:35 -9 28
14 Estrela Amadora 28 6 10 12 33:47 -14 28
15 Nacional A 28 6 7 15 31:39 -8 25
16 Casa Pia 26 5 9 12 26:48 -22 24
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19:44 -25 20
18 AVS 28 1 8 19 18:61 -43 11

Team Form

Benfica have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Nacional's 0% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Benfica are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Benfica frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Benfica have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 23 (2.3 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Benfica regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Benfica have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Benfica (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Stirling University W vs East Fife W 14:00 BST | SWPL 2, Scotland Stirling University W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · East Fife W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    100% combined
  • III. Kerületi TUE vs Dunaharaszti MTK 12:00 BST | NB 3: Southeast, Hungary III. Kerületi TUE have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Dunaharaszti MTK have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    91% combined
  • Vojvodina U19 vs Spartak Subotica U19 10:00 BST | U19 League, Serbia Vojvodina U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Spartak Subotica U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    86% combined
  • Flora vs Transvaal 21:30 BST | Major League, Suriname Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Transvaal have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    84% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.56
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Benfica vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Benfica vs Nacional?

Benfica to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Nacional have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Benfica or Nacional?

Benfica hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga Portugal this season, while Nacional have won only 0% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Benfica and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Benfica are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Benfica and Nacional?

Possibly — Benfica frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Benfica or Nacional?

Benfica have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Nacional's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Benfica and Nacional?

Possibly — Benfica regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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