Boca Juniors vs Independiente Football Stats

📍 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Boca Juniors sit 3rd in the table after 11 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Independiente are 8th after 11 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Boca Juniors have won 30% of home games, Independiente 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Boca Juniors in 80% of home games, Independiente in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Independiente regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Boca Juniors are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Boca Juniors see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Independiente in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Boca Juniors have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Independiente in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2026 season, with Boca Juniors (3rd) and Independiente (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 River Plate 20 11 3 6 29:17 +12 36
2 Argentinos Juniors 19 10 6 3 21:14 +7 36
3 Belgrano 20 10 6 4 24:16 +8 36
4 Rosario Central 19 10 4 5 25:19 +6 34
5 Independiente Rivadavia 17 10 4 3 30:17 +13 34
6 Estudiantes 17 9 4 4 19:8 +11 31
7 Boca Juniors H 17 8 6 3 24:12 +12 30
8 Gimnasia La Plata 18 9 2 7 20:21 -1 29
9 Vélez Sarsfield 17 7 7 3 18:13 +5 28
10 Talleres Córdoba 17 7 5 5 17:14 +3 26
11 Huracán 18 6 7 5 20:16 +4 25
12 Racing Club 18 6 6 6 19:17 +2 24
13 Independiente A 17 6 6 5 25:23 +2 24
14 Lanús 17 6 6 5 18:17 +1 24
15 Unión Santa Fe 18 6 6 6 26:23 +3 24
16 San Lorenzo 17 5 8 4 16:16 0 23
17 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
18 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 +3 20
20 Sarmiento 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
21 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
22 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
24 Central Cordoba SdE 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
25 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
26 Newell's Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
27 Atlético Tucumán 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
30 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5

Team Form

Boca Juniors (30% home wins) and Independiente (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Independiente regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Boca Juniors are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Boca Juniors 80% at home, Independiente 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Boca Juniors have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Independiente in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Boca Juniors have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Independiente in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Boca Juniors have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Independiente have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Boca Juniors (Home Form) Independiente (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Boca Juniors and Independiente. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 May 2025
Boca Juniors
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2024
Boca Juniors
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jul 2023
Independiente
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Boca Juniors
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Jan 2023
Boca Juniors
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Oct 2022
Boca Juniors
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Feb 2022
Independiente
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Boca Juniors
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Nov 2021
Independiente
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Boca Juniors
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Mar 2021
Independiente
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Boca Juniors
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Dec 2020
Independiente
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Boca Juniors
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2020
Boca Juniors
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Boca Juniors vs Independiente across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Boca Juniors 2.45
Draw 3.05
Independiente 3.5

Half Time Result

Boca Juniors 3.5
Draw 1.93
Independiente 4.25

Double Chance

Boca Juniors or Draw 1.36
Boca Juniors or Independiente 1.41
Draw or Independiente 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.34
No 1.71

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.66
Over 2.5 3.04
Over 3.5 6.6
Under 1.5 2.46
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 3.5 1.16

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.64
Over 1.5 3.65

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.46
Over 9.5 1.79
Over 10.5 2.25
Over 11.5 3

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.29

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Boca Juniors vs Independiente Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Independiente?

Under 2.5 Goals — Boca Juniors have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Independiente in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Boca Juniors or Independiente?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Boca Juniors have won 30% of home games, Independiente 30% away in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Boca Juniors and Independiente?

Possibly — Independiente regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Boca Juniors are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Boca Juniors and Independiente?

Uncertain — Boca Juniors have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Independiente in 40% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Boca Juniors or Independiente?

Boca Juniors have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Independiente's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Boca Juniors and Independiente?

Boca Juniors have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Independiente in 50% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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