Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Borussia Dortmund have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). RB Leipzig have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Borussia Dortmund 90% at home, RB Leipzig 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

RB Leipzig regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Borussia Dortmund are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Borussia Dortmund see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, RB Leipzig in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Borussia Dortmund (2nd) and RB Leipzig (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 29 24 4 1 105:27 +78 76
2 Borussia Dortmund H 29 19 7 3 60:29 +31 64
3 VfB Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60:38 +22 56
4 RB Leipzig A 29 17 5 7 56:36 +20 56
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59:39 +20 52
6 TSG Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57:43 +14 51
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54:54 0 42
8 SC Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41:47 -6 37
9 FC Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36:53 -17 33
10 FSV Mainz 05 28 8 9 11 35:43 -8 33
11 FC Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33:50 -17 32
12 Hamburger SV 29 7 10 12 32:45 -13 31
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 7 9 13 35:49 -14 30
14 FC Köln 29 7 9 13 43:50 -7 30
15 Werder Bremen 29 7 7 15 32:52 -20 28
16 St. Pauli 29 6 7 16 25:50 -25 25
17 VfL Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39:65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32:64 -32 19

Team Form

Borussia Dortmund have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to RB Leipzig's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

RB Leipzig regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Borussia Dortmund are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Borussia Dortmund 90% at home, RB Leipzig 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Borussia Dortmund have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, RB Leipzig in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Borussia Dortmund (70% Over 7.5 at home) and RB Leipzig (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Borussia Dortmund have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

RB Leipzig have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Borussia Dortmund (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15th Mar, 2025
RB Leipzig
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 3–12 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Nov, 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
RB Leipzig
Corners 4–0 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Apr, 2024
RB Leipzig
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 5–8 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Dec, 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
RB Leipzig
Corners 6–6 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Apr, 2023
RB Leipzig
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 9–1 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Mar, 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
RB Leipzig
Corners 4–6 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Sep, 2022
RB Leipzig
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 5–8 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Apr, 2022
Borussia Dortmund
1 – 4 HT: 0-2
RB Leipzig
Corners 7–5 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Nov, 2021
RB Leipzig
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 5–6 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th May, 2021
RB Leipzig
1 – 4 HT: 0-3
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 4–7 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Borussia Dortmund 1.72
Draw 4.64
RB Leipzig 4.19

Half Time Result

Borussia Dortmund 2.22
Draw 2.92
RB Leipzig 4.16

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw 1.27
Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig 1.22
Draw or RB Leipzig 2.1

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.36
No 3.2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.35
Over 3.5 1.8
Under 1.5 8
Under 2.5 3.7
Under 3.5 2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.88

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 1.89
Over 11.5 2.09

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.39
Over 2.5 2.42

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.24
Over 2.5 5.15

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig?

Over 1.5 Goals — Borussia Dortmund see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, RB Leipzig in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig?

Borussia Dortmund hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Bundesliga this season, while RB Leipzig have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig?

Mixed — Borussia Dortmund have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, RB Leipzig in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig?

Uncertain — Borussia Dortmund have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, RB Leipzig in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig?

Borussia Dortmund have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to RB Leipzig's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig?

Borussia Dortmund have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, RB Leipzig in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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