Boston River vs Peñarol — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 28th March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Peñarol have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Boston River are less dominant at home (2/10, 20%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Boston River at 20% at home and Peñarol at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Boston River at 30% at home and Peñarol at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Peñarol regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Boston River have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Boston River (13th) and Peñarol (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Peñarol A 8 6 1 1 14:6 +8 19
2 Racing 8 5 2 1 14:7 +7 17
3 Deportivo Maldonado 8 5 1 2 12:8 +4 16
4 Montevideo City Torque 8 4 2 2 11:7 +4 14
5 Nacional 8 4 1 3 11:8 +3 13
6 Danubio 8 3 3 2 11:10 +1 12
7 Liverpool 8 3 3 2 10:8 +2 12
8 Defensor Sporting 8 3 3 2 6:5 +1 12
9 Central Español 8 3 2 3 11:10 +1 11
10 Wanderers 8 3 2 3 7:11 -4 11
11 Albion 8 3 2 3 10:9 +1 11
12 Cerro Largo 8 3 0 5 8:11 -3 9
13 Atlético Progreso 8 1 3 4 6:12 -6 6
14 Cerro 8 1 2 5 4:11 -7 5
15 Boston River H 8 1 2 5 3:9 -6 5
16 Juventud 8 1 1 6 7:13 -6 4

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Boston River have been less dominant at home (20%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Boston River (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Boston River (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Boston River have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Peñarol in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 5 (0.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Boston River have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Peñarol in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Boston River have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Boston River (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Boston River and Peñarol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Jan 2026
Peñarol
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Boston River
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Aug 2025
Boston River
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2025
Peñarol
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Boston River
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2024
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Boston River
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2024
Boston River
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Feb 2024
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Boston River
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Sep 2023
Boston River
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jul 2023
Peñarol
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Boston River
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Feb 2023
Peñarol
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Boston River
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Oct 2022
Boston River
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Boston River vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Boston River 6.5
Draw 3.5
Peñarol 1.48

Half Time Result

Boston River 6.98
Draw 2.26
Peñarol 2.12

Double Chance

Boston River or Draw 2.55
Boston River or Peñarol 1.27
Draw or Peñarol 1.08

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.28
No 1.71

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 3.5 4.33
Under 1.5 3.11
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 3.17

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.49
Over 9.5 1.83
Over 10.5 2.23
Over 11.5 2.63

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 1.87
Over 1.5 5.5

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.78

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Al Ittihad W vs Al Qadsiah W 17:30 BST Al Ittihad W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Al Qadsiah W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Y Rhyl 1879 vs Denbigh Town 19:45 BST Y Rhyl 1879 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Denbigh Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    88% combined
  • Kortrijk U21 vs RFC de Liege U21 19:30 BST Kortrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · RFC de Liege U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    87% combined
  • Lafnitz vs Weiz 18:00 BST Lafnitz have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Weiz have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.41
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Boston River vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Peñarol?

Under 2.5 Goals — Boston River have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Boston River or Peñarol?

Peñarol arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Primera Division this season compared to Boston River's 20% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Boston River and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Boston River (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Boston River and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Boston River (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Boston River or Peñarol?

Peñarol have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Boston River's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Boston River and Peñarol?

Boston River have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Peñarol in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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