Boulogne vs Bastia | Betting Tips, Predictions & Stats (, Ligue 2)

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Boulogne sit 18th in the table after 2 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Bastia are 17th after 2 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Boulogne have won 30% of home games, Bastia 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Boulogne have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Bastia in 30% away (3/10). Boulogne average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, Bastia 1.4 and 1.1 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Boulogne in 60% of home games (6/10), Bastia in 60% away (6/10). Boulogne have scored in 70% of home fixtures; Bastia in 90% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Boulogne see 8+ in 80% of home games, Bastia in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Boulogne see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Bastia in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

League Table

The full Ligue 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Boulogne (18th) and Bastia (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 2 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	+27	67
2	Saint-Étienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	+21	60
3	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	48:31	+17	59
4	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	+6	58
5	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	+18	56
6	Red Star	33	15	10	8	45:37	+8	55
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	+10	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	+10	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	-14	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	+8	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	-7	40
12	Grenoble Foot 38	34	8	15	11	33:39	-6	39
13	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	-17	37
14	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	-6	37
15	Boulogne H	34	9	9	16	34:49	-15	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	-18	32
17	Bastia A	32	5	13	14	23:37	-14	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	-28	24

Team Form

Boulogne (30% home wins) and Bastia (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	3 (30%)	3 (30%)
Drawn	2 (20%)	6 (60%)
Lost	5 (50%)	1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Boulogne have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Bastia in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	6 (60%)	6 (60%)

Match Goals

Boulogne have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Bastia in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	8 (80%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals	7 (70%)	7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals	6 (60%)	3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals	3 (30%)	3 (30%)

Under Goals

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals	3 (30%)	3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals	4 (40%)	7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals	7 (70%)	7 (70%)

Team Goals

Boulogne have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Bastia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	7 (70%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	7 (70%)	6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	6 (60%)	3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Goal Totals

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	13 (1.3 avg)	14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	17 (1.7 avg)	11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Boulogne (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Bastia (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	8 (80%)	8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners	4 (40%)	3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Team Corners

Boulogne have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Bastia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	6 (60%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	0 (0%)	1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Boulogne and Bastia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22nd Jan, 2021

Boulogne

1 – 2 HT: 1-0

Bastia

Corners 2–6 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

3rd Sep, 2020

Bastia

0 – 1 HT: 0-0

Boulogne

Corners 5–2 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

2nd Mar, 2012

Bastia

2 – 0 HT: 0-0

Boulogne