Boulogne vs Bastia — Free Prediction & Stats

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

See Stats Below

Boulogne (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Bastia on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Boulogne 60% Over 2.5 at home, Bastia 30% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Boulogne often see both teams score at home (60%), while Bastia are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

League Table

The full Ligue 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Boulogne (18th) and Bastia (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 2 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	29	17	7	5	51:30	+21	58
2	Saint-Étienne	30	17	6	7	53:31	+22	57
3	Le Mans	30	14	12	4	45:29	+16	54
4	Red Star	29	13	9	7	36:30	+6	48
5	Reims	30	12	12	6	43:28	+15	48
6	Rodez	29	11	12	6	36:34	+2	45
7	Montpellier	30	12	8	10	35:27	+8	44
8	Annecy	30	12	7	11	36:34	+2	43
9	Pau	30	11	9	10	41:48	-7	42
10	Guingamp	30	10	10	10	39:42	-3	40
11	Dunkerque	30	10	10	10	45:37	+8	40
12	Boulogne H	30	9	9	12	30:38	-8	36
13	Grenoble Foot 38	30	6	14	10	29:36	-7	32
14	Nancy	30	7	9	14	27:43	-16	30
15	Clermont	30	7	9	14	34:41	-7	30
16	Laval	30	4	13	13	26:43	-17	25
17	Amiens SC	30	6	6	18	34:52	-18	24
18	Bastia A	29	3	12	14	19:36	-17	21

Team Form

Boulogne have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Bastia have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	3 (30%)	2 (20%)
Drawn	3 (30%)	6 (60%)
Lost	4 (40%)	2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Boulogne frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Bastia are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	6 (60%)	5 (50%)

Match Goals

Boulogne have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Bastia in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	8 (80%)	8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals	7 (70%)	6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals	6 (60%)	3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals	4 (40%)	3 (30%)

Under Goals

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals	4 (40%)	7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals	6 (60%)	7 (70%)

Team Goals

Boulogne have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Bastia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	7 (70%)	7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	4 (40%)	4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	7 (70%)	6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	6 (60%)	3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Goal Totals

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	14 (1.4 avg)	12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	17 (1.7 avg)	11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Bastia frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Boulogne are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	6 (60%)	9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners	5 (50%)	7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners	4 (40%)	4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners	4 (40%)	3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Team Corners

Boulogne have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Bastia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	5 (50%)	4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

	Boulogne (Home Form)	Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Boulogne and Bastia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22nd Jan, 2021

Boulogne

1 – 2 HT: 1-0

Bastia

Corners 2–6 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

3rd Sep, 2020

Bastia

0 – 1 HT: 0-0

Boulogne

Corners 5–2 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

2nd Mar, 2012

Bastia

2 – 0 HT: 0-0

Boulogne