Brentford vs Aston Villa — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Carabao Cup, England
🕒 Tuesday 16th September, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Brentford (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Aston Villa on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Brentford frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Aston Villa are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Brentford often see both teams score at home (60%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Brentford see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Aston Villa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Carabao Cup table for the 2025/2026 season, with Brentford (1st) and Aston Villa (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Carabao Cup 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 14:2 +12 18
2 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 9:5 +4 13
3 Cardiff City 5 4 0 1 10:6 +4 12
4 Newcastle United 5 3 0 2 9:7 +2 9
5 Chelsea 5 3 0 2 11:9 +2 9
6 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 2 0 5:2 +3 8
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 9:7 +2 7
9 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4:2 +2 7
10 Grimsby Town 4 2 1 1 6:8 -2 7
11 Brentford H 4 2 1 1 8:3 +5 7
12 Swansea City 4 2 1 1 8:7 +1 7
13 Doncaster Rovers 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
14 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 6:5 +1 6
15 Southampton 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 2 0 1 12:2 +10 6
17 Lincoln City 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
18 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
19 Reading 3 2 0 1 4:4 0 6
20 Accrington Stanley 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
21 Wigan Athletic 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
22 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
23 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 0 1 8:6 +2 6
24 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 5:2 +3 5
25 Plymouth Argyle 2 1 1 0 4:3 +1 4
26 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 4:9 -5 4
27 Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
28 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
29 Preston North End 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
30 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
31 Oxford United 2 1 0 1 1:6 -5 3
32 Norwich City 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
33 Birmingham City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Coventry City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
35 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 Charlton Athletic 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
37 Everton 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
38 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
39 Burnley 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
40 Cheltenham Town 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
41 Huddersfield Town 3 0 2 1 3:5 -2 2
42 Sheffield Wednesday 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
43 Bromley 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
44 Tranmere Rovers 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
45 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
46 Salford City 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 Rotherham United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
48 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
49 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
50 Bolton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
51 Leeds United 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
52 Aston Villa A 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
53 Stoke City 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
54 Walsall 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
55 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
56 Derby County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
57 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
58 Manchester United 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
59 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Newport County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
61 West Bromwich Albion 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
62 Ipswich Town 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Barnet 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
64 Hull City 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
65 Queens Park Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
66 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
67 Crewe Alexandra 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
68 Colchester United 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
69 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
71 Luton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
72 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
73 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
76 Northampton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
77 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
78 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
79 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
80 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
81 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
82 Oldham Athletic 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
83 Peterborough United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
84 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Notts County 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
86 Shrewsbury Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
88 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
90 Watford 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
91 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
92 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0

Team Form

Aston Villa have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Brentford have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Brentford frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Brentford have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Aston Villa in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Brentford have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Aston Villa in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Brentford (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Aston Villa (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Brentford have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Brentford (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Brentford and Aston Villa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Aug, 2025
Brentford
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aston Villa
8th Mar, 2025
Brentford
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
4th Dec, 2024
Aston Villa
3 – 1 HT: 3-0
Brentford
6th Apr, 2024
Aston Villa
3 – 3 HT: 1-0
Brentford
17th Dec, 2023
Brentford
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Aston Villa
30th Jul, 2023
Aston Villa
3 – 3 HT: 3-2
Brentford
22nd Apr, 2023
Brentford
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
23rd Oct, 2022
Aston Villa
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Brentford
2nd Jan, 2022
Brentford
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Aston Villa
28th Aug, 2021
Aston Villa
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Brentford

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Brentford vs Aston Villa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Brentford 3.64
Draw 3.88
Aston Villa 1.9

Half Time Result

Brentford 4.04
Draw 2.46
Aston Villa 2.56

Double Chance

Brentford or Draw 1.75
Brentford or Aston Villa 1.25
Draw or Aston Villa 1.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.61
No 2.2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.2
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.83
Over 11.5 2.75

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.66
Over 2.5 5.95

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.87
Over 2.5 3.64

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined

Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Brentford vs Aston Villa?

Over 1.5 Goals — Brentford see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Aston Villa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Brentford or Aston Villa?

Aston Villa hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Brentford at home (30% wins) in Carabao Cup. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Brentford and Aston Villa?

Mixed — Brentford have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Carabao Cup fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Brentford and Aston Villa?

Uncertain — Brentford have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Aston Villa in 40% of away games in Carabao Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Brentford or Aston Villa?

Brentford have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Aston Villa's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Brentford and Aston Villa?

Brentford have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 50% of away games in Carabao Cup. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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