Bugesera vs Etincelles Football Stats

📍 National Soccer League, Rwanda
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Bugesera sit 10th in the table after 23 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Etincelles are 15th after 24 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Bugesera have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Etincelles have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Bugesera have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Etincelles in 50% away (5/10). Bugesera average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Etincelles 1.1 and 1.5 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Bugesera have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Etincelles in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Bugesera see 8+ in 60% of home games, Etincelles in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Bugesera see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Etincelles in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full National Soccer League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Bugesera (10th) and Etincelles (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

National Soccer League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 +49 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 +22 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 +17 59
4 Kiyovu Sports 34 13 14 7 34:21 +13 53
5 Rayon Sports 33 13 14 6 37:30 +7 53
6 Police Rwanda 34 12 16 6 29:19 +10 52
7 Mukura 34 12 11 11 36:38 -2 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 +4 45
9 Bugesera H 34 12 8 14 34:39 -5 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 +1 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 -11 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 -16 38
13 Etincelles A 34 7 16 11 32:40 -8 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 -12 35
15 Gasogi United 33 8 11 14 29:41 -12 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 -19 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 -21 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 -17 29

Team Form

Etincelles have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Bugesera have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bugesera (40% BTTS at home) and Etincelles (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Bugesera have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Etincelles in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Bugesera have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Etincelles in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Etincelles frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Bugesera are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Bugesera have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Etincelles have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Bugesera (Home Form) Etincelles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Bugesera and Etincelles. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Jan 2026
Etincelles
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Bugesera
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 May 2025
Etincelles
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Bugesera
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2024
Bugesera
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Etincelles
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2024
Bugesera
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Etincelles
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Nov 2023
Etincelles
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Bugesera
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 May 2023
Etincelles
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Bugesera
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Oct 2022
Bugesera
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Etincelles
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Feb 2022
Etincelles
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bugesera
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2021
Bugesera
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Etincelles
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2020
Etincelles
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Bugesera
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Bugesera vs Etincelles across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Bugesera 2.15
Draw 2.88
Etincelles 3.5

Half Time Result

Bugesera 2.8
Draw 1.91
Etincelles 4

Double Chance

Bugesera or Draw 1.25
Bugesera or Etincelles 1.4
Draw or Etincelles 1.6

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.15
No 1.6

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.5
Over 2.5 2.63
Over 3.5 5.3
Under 1.5 2.3
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.1

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.5

Bugesera Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.68

Etincelles Goals

Over 0.5 1.59
Over 1.5 4.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Bugesera vs Etincelles Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Bugesera vs Etincelles?

Over 1.5 Goals — Bugesera see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Etincelles in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Bugesera or Etincelles?

Bugesera have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Etincelles on the road (20% wins) in National Soccer League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Bugesera and Etincelles?

Unlikely — Bugesera (40% BTTS at home) and Etincelles (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in National Soccer League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Bugesera and Etincelles?

Uncertain — Bugesera have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Etincelles in 50% of away games in National Soccer League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Bugesera or Etincelles?

Etincelles have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Bugesera's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Bugesera and Etincelles?

Possibly — Etincelles frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Bugesera are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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